Your predictions are based on two things:
1) Increase support for the PNC and AFC
2) Decrease in support for the PPP.
All indications are that the AFC cannot hold on the those votes they took away from the PPP in 2011. Guyanese no longer see Moses as a PPP man and Ramjattan is now described as the Madman from 48. The PPP is closing the gap in region 4 due to the influx of more people. Support for the PPP remains strong.
Be a thinker than a pampleteer.Why cannot the AFC hold it votes? Do you think the PPP woll be successful in their smear campaign of indicting them of corruption on disparity of bigan prices, the Hughes working for Amalia falls etc? Get real.
THere is no influx in of people in region four. Padding the list with chinese cannot fill the gap of some 17k loss. The Americans said they give some 50K visas. That is definitely more from the PPP support ranks and even distributed geographically it means a negative. New voters are not backward thinking and racist as the older ones so they are not going to succumb to the lies of the PPP that the PNC is their worse enemy.
They will see the prevailing conditions of their lives and the expressively naked corrupt practices of the PPP, their inability to get jobs without bribing someone or the difficulty of getting any official service from birth certificates, driver's licenses or even a telephone! Do you think they are unaware of the hopeless incapacity of the PPP do do due deligence in crime prevention? You are deluding yourselves if the pressures of living in a PPP thieving regime will overwhelm reason.