The PPP needs to lose 10pc of the national vote in order to lose the Presidency? How would this be possible?
Jokes:
The PPP needs to lose less than 10%---it's more like 6.4%
Let's look at the results in the last election:
PPP...48.6%
PNC...40.8%
AFC...10.3%
Now, if the AFC under Moses can get 15%---that's 4.7% more than in 2011, and let's assume that they pull all of that 4.7% from the PPP, then you'll have:
PPP...43.9%
PNC...40.8%
AFC...15.0%
So the PPP will still control the executive branch.
For the PNC to control the executive branch they will need to increase their % by 1.7%--- from 40.8% to 42.5%---and they will have to pull that 1.7% away from the PPP.
That brings us to:
PPP...42.2%
PNC...42.5% = PNC win
AFC...15.0%
CONCLUSION:
* Assuming the same turnout
* If the AFC gets 15% of the vote
* If the PNC gets an additional 1.7%
THEN THE PNC WILL FORM THE NEXT GOVERNMENT!
A vote for Moses and the AFC is a vote for the PNC to form the next government.
Rev