I think we strayed a bit from the original question. The question remains:
Can Moses Nagamootoo as the AFC Presidential Candidate Swing 10%?
My answer remains:
YES, maybe more than 10% but that depends on the political work on the ground.
Ronald:
As long as the AFC exists it will always be perceived as the 3rd party in Guyana. The two major parties will forever be the PPP and the PNC(they now call themselves apnu).
Now, in Guyana's election history the largest percentage of votes a 3rd party has ever received was the 12.4% the United Force got in the 1964 election.
In 2006 the AFC under Trotman received 8.1% and in 2011 under Ramjattan they received 10.3%
The increase from 8.1 to 10.3% was due mainly to the Nagamootoo presence.
In the next election, if Nagamootoo were the AFC's presidential candidate the best the AFC can expect would be equalling the 12.4% the UF received in 1964.
But as poster Henry said---the Nagamootoo novelty has dissipated---he has fired his bullet--and the AFC came up with only 10.3% in the 2011 election.
By the time the next election rolls around, Moses Nagamootoo will be all washed up politically---he'll be perceived by the electorate as a mean, bitter, sourpuss and a loser.
Ramo will be re-elected president.
Will he win by a majority ?
Who cares ?
THE MILK AND HONEY WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW IN THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH AND GUYANA'S ECONOMY WILL BE FIRING ON ALL CYLINDERS.
Rev