there is 2 big political assumption that cannot stand up.
1. Ralphie Karran was never popular with the grass roots...
2. The PNC will lose votes.
I am convinced the PNC will max out in 2015 at 35%. 35% cannot win an election when the PPP will get 40%.
3. The AFC is still not well organised
4. Guyanese voters are very cautious and will not chnage their votes enmass. Many will change their votes but not 75,000 in 5 years.
The AFC need 75,000 more votes to make a difference.
This 2015 election is the PPP's Presidential victory but with less votes.
The AFC will be gaining seats in parliament while the apnu and ppp will be losing seats.
The 2015 elections will be MOSES victory.
Ronald:
Thanks for the indepth response above---much appreciated.
You have imparted some serious political wisdom ---you are clearly intuned with political climate in Guyana.
In speaking to Guyanese in Guyana recently, many seemed contented with the status quo---PPP controls the executive branch; PNC/AFC control the legislative branch.
It would be interesting to see how many seats the AFC under Moses can pick up in 2015.
Rev