Skip to main content

Reply to "Can Moses Nagamootoo as the AFC Presidential Candidate Swing 10%?"

Originally Posted by Rev Al:
Originally Posted by SS:
 
the PNC is closer to the PPP ideologically than it is to the AFC.

 


Sase:

 

The Rev respects your point of view. You strike me as being intelligent and well informed.

 

Now Sase, it's important for you to understand that given Guyana's historical voting pattern, there is zero chance of a 3rd party like the AFC ever winning a general election--ZERO!

 

In the last election the AFC, energized by Moses leaving the PPP and joining them, captured 10.3% of the votes---many Berbicians who supported the AFC were shocked by that 10.3%---they were led to believe that they AFC would win it all---they received just 10.3% of the vote.

 

THE AFC WILL ALWAYS BE PERCEIVED IN GUYANA TO BE THE 3RD PARTY!

 

And there is a ceiling, in terms of percentage of votes received, by 3rd parties---I believe the maximum percentage of votes a 3rd party in Guyana has ever received was 12%---and so the AFC is pretty close to bumping into that ceiling.

 

Poster Henry made a valid point in another thread that the AFC's novelty has dissipated. We shall find out how much that novelty has eroded in the next election---if they get less than 10% of the votes---they are history.

 

You said, "the PNC is closer ideologically to the PPP than it is to the AFC." Well sase, you are correct. And those 2 ideologically similar parties, the PPP and PNC, will likely capture 90% of the vote in the next election.

 

THE AFC WILL ALWAYS BE THE 3Rd PARTY IN GUYANA---THE 10% PARTY.

 

Rev

 

 

Uncle Rev you right.

 

The PPP will win the plurality again!

FM
×
×
×
×
×
×