Stormborn posted:When it comes to brass tacks only the establishment exists because it is history, tradition, and culture that makes a nation whole. Those are the established views. The idea that you can side step that is for idiots like you and the idiot vote that trump needs.
He has to win an astonishing percentage of the white vote. This nation is bifurcated evenly among whites between GOP and Dems. He has to poll 25 percent of dems to win if he discounts Hispanics and Blacks and run a race targeting the so called disaffected whites alone.
I believe everyone tacks back to the center in everything. If that happens he lose and big....by some 10 to 16 points.
The GOP has a problem. They are about to elect a man who had to be forced to condemn the KKK, this after claiming that he didn't know what white supremacist ideologies are.
The same man condemned undocumented Mexicans as rapists and drug dealers, when in fact they are the most law abiding people living in the USA. It is in fact the US born Mexican Americans who are more likely to engage in this activity, and even then, only a minority of them do.
The same man has also condemned China (and Chinese) as the font of all things evil.
The same man has made very misogynistic comments about women.
Record numbers of blacks, Hispanics and Asians will vote. Hillary need only get 40% of the white vote. Given that the fastest growing part of the population are single women, and even married women and others are appalled at the man's crudity, buffoonery and emerging fascist tendencies, I will be shocked if Hillary doesn't win every where, except the South (NC, VA and FL excluded) and parts of the Mountain states.
Baseman will be screaming about how she rigged the election, just as he wails that Granger stole the election from Jagdeo.