Reply to "There is no way that the PPP/C will win if Elections were held today"

Former Member

Originally Posted by asj:

IF ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY, THE CORRUPT PPP/C WOULD BE HISTORY

Are you saying that APNU would win?

What people need to discuss isn't whether the PPP will lose or not, but what do they think are the chances that APNU will win. I some how don't think that many think that APNU will win, at least not unless the AFC really savages the PPP in its base.

A likely scenario will be a PPP plurality with a smaller number of seats. I hope that APNU and the AFC have a plan for that, but knowing how stupid the APNU is, and how full of self delusion the AFC is, I doubt it.

I will suggest that APNU has a 30% floor and a 40% cap, while the PPP has a 40% floor. The race vote still exists and the PPP will always gain some non Indian votes by their ability to buy it. This suggests that the AFC has a 30% cap.

11/13/1411:26 AM

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