There is no way that the PPP/C will win if Elections were held today
Whether October 13, 2013, the beginning of this thread, or Monday May 11, 2015, the date of the elections, PPP/C will win the elections with more than 52% of the votes.
No one knows who will win the elections, but if we were to go by the trend of previous years re:
In 1997 the PPP/C got 220,667 Votes
In 2001 the PPP/C got 210,013 Votes
In 2005 the PPP/C got 182,156 Votes
In 2011 the PPP/C got 166,340 Votes
Those figures are staring at us, telling us something.
Immaterial, as usual.
When facts are staring down at you, and yelling trying to educate you, then you become ungrateful because of the truthfulness of those figures. Far gone I am afraid, but for me it is immaterial. Whether you have your marbles or lost them.
Continued irrelevance.
One point in case; while the numbers obtained are shown, they must be compared to the total votes cast for each election period.
Immaterial, do your homework and present them then we will see if those marbles are still there. 
The only marbles he rass got are in his undies, it'll be corn kernels from dinner the night before.