Reply to "There is Strong Reason to Believe the PPP Is Leading And the Polls Are Wrong About This Tie"

Former Member

Originally Posted by Shaitaan:

Originally Posted by caribny:

And now polls show the coalition at 45%, so if that is an under poll then they are home free.

Please explain. I doan understand. How is this good for the Coalition absent some extraordinary APNU driven Black/Mixed turnout of people who doan usually vote?

If the PNC polls 30% and finally gets 40%, and at least 80% of that 45% is the PNC component, then the traditional under polling will suggest that APNU AFC will get more than 45%.

The under polling will be significant because it does appear as if there is more youthful excitement within the APNU AFC camp than tradionally. Most likely that element isnt being polled.

I will not speak to the AFC Indian component as I lack access to that component. Indeed I will argue that not even Moses knows what votes he will bring in until the last ballot is counted.

5/1/156:29 PM

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