Isn't the forum one where we're supposed to have debates? All I'm saying is that your sit and do nothing strategy is a guarantee for failure. There is a better chance of getting the PPP out by merging. There will not be a major shift in votes from 2011 and that to me gives the opposition a better shot of winning. The aim is to remove the PPP not to have them back as a minority government. If you have a better plan to get them out, let us know but so far you haven't proposed anything better.
You do know that only 5k votes makes a difference and that isn't a major shift, even though it will have major consequences.
The PPP need only take back 60% of the votes that it lost to the AFC. And you know that many of them aren't too happy with any arrangement which includes the PNC, which they will swear engaged in "beat and kill collie" up to a scant 10 years ago.
I suggest that you focus on the fact that Nagamootoo telling Indians to vote PNC is a good deal harder than asking them to vote for him as an alternate to the PPP.
Here is the deal. Blacks aren't voting PPP. Amerindians aren't voting PERIOD. So the election will be largely determined by what those Indians who are no longer hard core PPP supporters do. Will they vote PNC?
Focus on that instead of fooling yourself that a bunch of armchair GNI posters, none of whom are going to vote or even campaign, are going to have any impact. The most that might happen is that some one glances on GNI and picks up and idea or 2. And they do look at GNI.
You are always sitting on a sick and arguing to your own demons. Who care where the five percent of the ppp voters go if the demographics has shifted as the numbers seem to indicate. While none of us have the exact data, we can extrapolate from the information available. It shows Indians at a 39% of the population. This will not deviate greatly from the elections list so it means even if the retain all their numbers ( an impossibility) they still lose because you know the APNU base is hardened and their loss will be due to apathy. Even with some 80K differential in those not voting, the PPP barely broke the majority. Africans are going to turn out this time because of the sense of the inevitable. There is a very good chance of defeating the PPP.
By the way, it is downright ignorant to call us armchair whatever. We are certainly more informed than the average Guyanese. Further, having an opinion is not contingent on voting in Guyana.