Isn't the forum one where we're supposed to have debates? All I'm saying is that your sit and do nothing strategy is a guarantee for failure. There is a better chance of getting the PPP out by merging. There will not be a major shift in votes from 2011 and that to me gives the opposition a better shot of winning. The aim is to remove the PPP not to have them back as a minority government. If you have a better plan to get them out, let us know but so far you haven't proposed anything better.
You do know that only 5k votes makes a difference and that isn't a major shift, even though it will have major consequences.
The PPP need only take back 60% of the votes that it lost to the AFC. And you know that many of them aren't too happy with any arrangement which includes the PNC, which they will swear engaged in "beat and kill collie" up to a scant 10 years ago.
I suggest that you focus on the fact that Nagamootoo telling Indians to vote PNC is a good deal harder than asking them to vote for him as an alternate to the PPP.
Here is the deal. Blacks aren't voting PPP. Amerindians aren't voting PERIOD. So the election will be largely determined by what those Indians who are no longer hard core PPP supporters do. Will they vote PNC?
Focus on that instead of fooling yourself that a bunch of armchair GNI posters, none of whom are going to vote or even campaign, are going to have any impact. The most that might happen is that some one glances on GNI and picks up and idea or 2. And they do look at GNI.
Stick to what I'm telling you instead of making up nonsense that I never even said. Where did I ever claim that armchair GNI posters will have any impact on the elections?
All I'm asking from you is a better strategy from the opposition than merging. You have none because there is none. Save me the drivel.
Isn't it obvious? Have the AFC continue its momentum from the 2 previous election cycles and now with Moses in full bloom it can take 12 to 15 seats. Granger has been a better prospect than Corbin and he has room to up his total - by increased voter registration. That's what Caribny argues. Instead the coalition takes the AFC back 2 seats and the APNU at best (if it campaigns better and Granger is better than Corbin) is likely to get plus one. What that does is still leave the PPP with one more seat than the combined opposition and a majority in Parliament. The Presidency has never been in question as the PPP will have the votes.
Now for answers. Give this election cycle to a minority government and make it harder for ther PPP to get its way, with the threat of another motion of no confidence hanging. The combined opposition will have chairmanship of Boards and Parliamentary committees. Work the Pparliamentary way to reign in the PPP excesses. Then you build for the next election and send these PPP into oblivion. That would be my approach - work for the longer term.
I will state again - the coalition is a strategic mistake. Let's hope I'm wrong.