November 16,2017
When the PPP lost the election, Jagdeo (long before 2015 was seen as the main decision-maker in the PPP leadership), embraced the stratagem of shouting ‘rigging’. He didn’t get consensus in the PPP. Some important figures like Robert Persaud and Dr. Vindya Persaud urged conceding defeat.
The PPP did, then Jagdeo ousted Clement Rohee as the PPP General-Secretary and secured the office of Leader of the Opposition. Jagdeo was still in command of the PPP. But the bricks on his fortress walls were showing patent signs of brittleness.
Two considerations cast a long shadow in the post 2015 PPP.
One was the role of the ABC countries in the election scenario – the campaign and the actual election. The general view in the country was that the ABC countries did not want to see a Jagdeoite PPP back in power. It was a haunting melody for Jagdeo.His ambitious rivals in the PPP had a prized possession to use against him- the PPP must get back into power and once there is Jagdeo, the mood of the ABC countries will remain permanent. Using that factor, Jagdeo was vulnerable since the new dispensation began in May 2015.The second consideration was whether Jagdeo could ever get 51 percent of the ballots for a PPP victory. Those in the PPP who nurture the thought of the presidential candidacy could argue that in a campaign marked by one of the most violent, racist advocacies in election history, Jagdeo did not carry the PPP over the finishing line.
The natural conclusion is that he will always alienate some percentage of Indians and Africans that need to take the PPP over the 51 percent.Jagdeo’s career was under the microscope in the PPP. Then came what all humans know- life throws up the unexpected. Steve Surajballi resigned as GECOM chairman. A very cunning Jagdeo saw the birth of a circumstance that if manipulated and exploited deftly could rebirth his domination of the PPP.He did exactly just that through a gambit. From the time Surajbally walked away, Jagdeo started the gambit. Unfortunately, an inexperienced President became Jagdeo’s trump card.The first GECOM list was one in a series of charades in which Granger could not win. Put as a totally unacceptable list and he has to choose one and when he does, we get our man as the Chairman; if he refuses he will appear to our supporters and undecided voters as the usual barefaced PNC leader.The second list and the third one were all part of the gambit. Once Granger picks from the list we win. If he doesn’t, we still win because he will pick his own man and we will cry election rigging.
This is what Granger did. He picked someone and in doing so two conspicuous miscalculations showed their unpleasant presence. Having elevated age as a consideration of service that allows for opportunity for younger people, Granger took someone 84 years old. The AFC didn’t help by informing the nation that the AFC was not consulted. Bharrat Jagdeo’s gambit was successful.What has played out since then has catapulted Jagdeo back onto the PPP’s throne. PPP supporters and East Indians are falling for the cry that election rigging is on the cards for 2020. PPP supporters and undecided voters are hearing the constant refrain that the PNC will never change and Granger is doing what the PNC has always done – seek power domination.It is a very naïve person who believes that the GECOM imbroglio has not made those two propaganda set pieces effective among Indians and PPP constituencies.
Against such a backdrop, it is inconceivable that the ones who have their eyes set on 2020 will challenge Jagdeo’s leadership. They simply will not get support from PPP areas all over Guyana, and from the leadership and total membership of the PPP. If Jagdeo should bring up the timing of the PPP congress, there is not even one voice that would faintly whisper about leadership changes for the 2020 poll.Jagdeo will have one essential response to anyone from inside the PPP or the diaspora who wants to see him out of the leadership for the 2020 election campaign. He will tell even the underage PPP fanatic that the country is in crisis, that the PNC has been exposed, now is the time to go on the offensive and all these circumstances were created by his strategizing.
God help the challenger(s) that will seek to argue against that. Jagdeo still remains king of the PPP. History is funny. Burnham’s unpopular missteps kept Jagan’s career alive. Granger is moving in the same direction and Jagdeo is elated.