Skip to main content

Ray Chickrie
 

Guyana 150 Million Airport upgrade and no International carriers

 

Guyana, a Developing Country with a vast interior doesn’t have a national carrier and is spending about 200 million dollar to modernize and extend the runway of its international airport.  And without a realistic master plan, the country hopes to become an aviation hub in Northern South America. Interestingly, Guyana is struggling to attract reputable international carriers.  Adding to the woes of Guyana’s aviation industry which is non existent, was the decision to award Caribbean Airlines (CAL) flag carrier status which caught everyone by surprise. It was a hasty decision shrouded in secrecy and lacked transparency. So where is the justification to modernize and expand Guyana’s international airport, CJIA and naming CAL Guyana’s national carrier?

 

This could be the moment for the government of Guyana to get back into the airline business through a joint venture with Surinam Airways (SLM) or Liat but this may never happen because CAL is now Guyana’s national carrier.  Guyana granting CAL flag carrier status and Trinidad’s fuel subsidy to CAL is now unfolding and has caught the PPP Regime by surprise.

 

There are all sorts of speculations as to why Delta Airline is leaving Guyana. The government of Guyana denies that it’s the flag carrier status granted to CAL. Delta claims that it is low passenger load and CAL’s subsidized fuel that led to its decision to end its service to Guyana.  At the same time, Minister Irfan Ally said to the press that Guyana is keen to take up the subsidy issue. Strangely, why would that be an issue for Guyana? It’s the fuel subsidy thatCAL receives that keep fares low for Guyanese.  However, that will lead to other carriers such as Delta and Surinam Airways leaving the Guyanamarket soon.

 

Caribbean Airlines operates 39 weekly Boeing 737-800s flights fromGeorgetown, including 36 flights to Port of Spain and three flights to Barbados, five Boeing 767-300 non –stop flights to New York and 3 Non-Stop to Toronto, taking about 75% of the Guyana market since the demise of Red Jet. CAL is   poised to take about 80% of the market when Delta pulls out of Guyana in May. Considering this and the large fuel subsidy that CALreceives from the Government of Trinidad, it’s hard for small airlines such as Fly Jamaica, Red Jet or Surinam Airways to survive the Guyana market.

 

CAL is accused of driving airlines out of the Caribbean. Chief Secretary of the Tobago House of Assembly Orville London speaking on the issue of Tobago’s tourism industry this week said he was not comfortable with the role Caribbean Airlines (CAL) was playing. He said that “CAL was using its subsidies from the central government to introduce predatory pricing on routes into T&T, deterring foreign airlines from bringing people to Tobago.” This could very well be the reason why Delta is leaving Guyana and SLM maybe next.

 

In my previous letter to Stabroek News, dated December 25, 2012, I asked the following: “CAL may very well do as it pleases because the Government of Guyana will now protect the North American routes and the POS-GTBridge. What agreement did the two parties sign? How does this affect Delta and Surinam Airways, and future carriers plying the North American routes? What recourse does the government have if CAL disappoints the Guyanese people?” Well one thing is for sure, Delta is terminating its service to Guyanaand CAL is yet to station aircrafts at CJIA connecting Guyana to Brazil and Lethem.

 

A Developing Country like Guyana with a vast interior needs a national carrier even if that means servicing domestic and regional routes only. The PPP Regime rants about their growing tourism industry. One wonders how many local Guyanese can afford to fly domestically.  However, CAL had promised the PPP Regime that they would service at least Lethem from what information was shared with the media. This hasn’t happened yet. And locals can’t afford to fly with private domestic carriers unless their families who are visiting from North America pay for them. Thus, it’s an empty promise that the PPP Regime at Freedom House is serious about opening the country’s frontiers.

 

I had asked, “Were SLM and Delta consulted before this agreement with CALwas made? The PPP/C regime begged SLM to return to Guyana. How does this affect SLM’s plans to expand into Northern Brazil, New York andToronto from Guyana?” It is very clear now that Freedom House kept SLM, Delta and LIAT in the dark about   granting CAL flag carrier status. Now how embarrassing it is that the PPP Regime approached SLM to service the New York route that Delta will drop. Really, does this administration consult or think before it acts?

 

Suriname according to some economists and the agencies, Moody and Finch, is poised for a serious economic take off and this could have been an opportunity for the Guyanas to forge an alliance with SLM. Surinam Airways already exist and it’s more reliable than the fly by night’s carriers that often fly the skies of Guyana. SLM has three equipments, two Boeings 737 and an Airbus 340. SLM does not have an aircraft to service New York non-  stop from Guyana and is looking to get rid of its Airbus 340 and add two Boeing 757,  but that’s not possible right now since the lease on the airbus terminates in 2015. SLM is having difficulty plying one aircraft on the trans-Atlantic route to Amsterdam.  As well, there are frequent delays on SLM’s flights from Guyana to Miami, Cayenne, Belem and Paramaribo because the government often charter one of the Boeings 737-300 for overseas trips. According to information out of Suriname, they are looking to acquire an additional Boeing to fly regional routes and future expansion into Northern Brazil.  Paramaribo will definitely need some sort of incentives from Guyanaif they are to connect Guyana to New York.  What did President Ramotar promised SLM in Haiti?

 

In addition, the future of Fly Jamaica, the new upstart airline that plans to fly to Guyana is very uncertain. Guyana is and will not be a tourist destination in the near future.  Further, there are no migrant workers who travel back and forth between Guyana, Toronto, Miami and New York, thus, reputable air carriers such as JetBlue may not fly to Guyana. The Guyana load is seasonal and the country has little tourist infrastructure to be marketed as a tourist destination. Further, and above all, because of high crime rate, violence and constant political turmoil in Guyana, tourism is unlikely to take off. Guyanese going back home are not tourists.

Replies sorted oldest to newest

Originally Posted by Kari:

Panditji, a lot of what Chickerie wrote is worth serious thought. Serious thought mah man, not "crap" and "jackass".

We can always debate in line by line.


 

Nehru

You're on shaky grounds here Pavi. Opening up the country's frontiers means that the Government of Guyana needs to look at the transport infrastructure of the mining and trading communities. The local private sector (Mahazaralli, Veira, etc.) has done its share with their small planes and the airstrips. What Chickerie is addressing is how bungled the Government is over the demise of the front-end of aviation, specifically the handling of flag carrier status and enabling competition (note Caribbean Airlines fuel-subsidy); let alone the CBJ airport investment. Chickerie draws attention to a fallacy over tourism fortunes in Guyana, when he points out that returning Guyanese are not "tourists" per se. Again the private sector has done its bit over resorts - though these are recreational rather than eco-resorts a la Costa Rica and Suriname - but there is a national effort that's wanting.

 

I don't want to get into a back-and-forth over the article. Just don't call the man a jackass and say it's crap before you've had a chance to thoughtfully go through it. That much credence I give your postings, so don't let me down.

Kari
Originally Posted by warrior:

at least its big enough for me to land my air ballon and the runway will be empty

Yu rite. Yu ballon, juss like yu brain, ah wan bladda dem pickney ah play wid xmas time. Bai, like me seh "yu prappa sthupid".

FM
Originally Posted by Kari:

Panditji, a lot of what Chickerie wrote is worth serious thought. Serious thought mah man, not "crap" and "jackass".

 

Rumors are that AA will start flights to GEO and Pbo out of MIA by Xmas.  Before the PPP psychos start praising the PPP they need to know that Pbo, with much weaker US ties, will get the same amount of service as GEO.  That is IF this service does start.

 

 

Only problem is if CAL is not good enough to be a flag carrier for Guyana (which is not the same as national carrier), then why does he think that LIAT and Surinam Airways, with far more limited routes, is good enough?

All CAL has is the right to negotiate routes starting or ending in GEO.   BW and now CAL already had defacto flag carrier status to GEO from the USA, which is why the offered flights from MIA and JFK, without forcing a plane change.

 

 I am not aware that this means that Guyana cannot designate another CARICOM carrier as a flag carrier.  I know that several CARICOM countries had BOTH Air Jamaica and BWIA as flag carriers.

 

In order for there to be nonstop service for TO to GEO Guyana had to designate a flag carrier, as no Canadian airline seems interested in GEO for now.  I guess Chickerie prefers Guyanese to be stranded at POS, rather than having nonstops to GEO.

 

Delta is not interested in GEO because they no longer have the ability to charge what ever theu wish as people who do not wish the POS stop  can now use CAL.  What Chickerie needs to tell us is why does AA have healthy service to POS from MIA, if this fuel subsidy drives carriers away.

 

As to the fuel subsidy.  T&T subsidizes CAL.  So why is that a concern of anybody in Guyana?  But then T&T subsidized BWIA even more, as BW was run under a "too big to9 fail" priniciple so was free to incure unlimited debts to be bailed out by T&T.  CAL is only able to be subsidiezed to the extent that fuel costs exceed some bench mark level.

 

So let us be glad that GUyana has a flag carrier PAID FOR BY THE TAX PAYERS of Trinidad & Tobago.  Guyana doesd not put in ONE CENT into CAL, and yet enjoys nonstops on critical routes to North America. Its clear to all that Guyana CANNOT supports its own carrier so I dont know why people think that it can. 

 

The joke is Chickerie wants Surinam to be the national carreier when he conceded thatthey DO NOT HAVE THE PLANES to fly to JFK and TO.

 

I will not even respond to the nonsense that T&T tax payers should pay for a plane to be based at GEO for flights to Brazil and Guyana's interior.  Surinam will NOT do this, nor will LIAT.

FM

Jet fuel subsidy is bad for all

 

 

The Sunday Express editorial headlined "Cheap fuel good for CAL, bad for Tobago" (March 3) is very wide of the mark. The subsidy is just plain bad — for everyone.

The editorial rightly points out that CAL was started on January 1, 2007 in the middle of an uncontrolled run-up in jet fuel prices which peaked in mid-2008 and CAL was given a "leg up" to get itself established.

It is now more than five years on and CAL continues to receive a "start-up" subsidy – for all its flights including the Guyana-North America and Jamaica-North America operations. 

 

CAL has used its lower cost for fuel to distort the marketplace and defer the hard decisions it must make if it is to become profitable. CAL pays US$1.50 for a US gallon of jet fuel – the market price today is US$3.50 – so the subsidy is US$2 and it uses around 40 million gallons a year - a subsidy of US$80 million.

 

CAL has only published its financial statements for 2007 and 2008 and in both of those years, it made a loss despite its subsidy.

No one seems worried that its statements for 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012 have not been tabled in Parliament as required by law.

No one knows how much the fuel subsidy is or how much money CAL continues to lose despite the subsidy. No one seems to care.

But the subsidy, as all subsidies, has a dark side. It creates a dependence on the subsidy,  breeding complacency and leading to increased costs in other areas relative to its competitors that are masked by the subsidy.  

 

CAL operates in the international market and prices based on its costs – which due to the subsidy are lower than its competitors. The playing field is not level and its competitors cannot match its fares and make a profit. So they reduce service or leave altogether — as Delta has done on the Guyana-New York route.

 

British Airways has been on record publicly for over a year as saying that it has  grave concerns over CAL's use of its subsidy on its transatlantic services.

If that trend continues CAL will be the only airline serving T&T and if it increases its flying on all its routes to compensate you will be looking at fuel consumption of 100 million gallons a year and a subsidy of US$200 million and CAL likely will still be losing money.

 

International airlines have gotten their act together over the past five years and are now making money once again despite paying US$ 3.50 a gallon for fuel. CAL continues to lose money while paying only US$ 1.50 a gallon.

Why? Because it has not taken the steps necessary to become and remain competitive and as long as it has the subsidy and doesn't have to report its losses it will continue to remain complacent and non-competitive.

 

The editorial rightly mentions CAL's impact on LIAT – which provides an essential and in some cases the only airline service linking Caricom together -- yet CAL has stepped in to compete with it on unfairly and contrary to the founding Caricom treaty. LIAT has been losing money for years and is in poor financial health – in  part because it too is subsidised.

 

There is no reason why CAL and LIAT cannot exert some self-discipline and cost control and become profitable without a subsidy. Others do it. If they are obliged for social reasons to operate uneconomic routes those routes should be subsidised or dropped. But they cannot be permitted to continue spending taxpayers' money to perpetuate their own inefficiencies. LIAT's solution is to go out and spend US$225 million that it does not have to buy a brand new fleet of aircraft that will be more expensive overall to operate when it is losing money every year – and it is losing money because its fares are so high to try to cover those  costs that it has driven down traffic on its system from 1.65 million in 2006 to 803,000 last year.

 

Those airlines are in a mess – and needlessly. They need to take the hard decisions to cut costs to the extent necessary to be able to charge fares people can afford to pay and earn the airline a profit. It is not rocket science.          John Gilmore

 

http://www.trinidadexpress.com...r_all-194717441.html

Sunil
Originally Posted by Nehru:

Sunil, Please dont Post CRAP written by a JACKASS!!!

so, the people who also say the same thing in Trinidad are jackasses too? bai..your support for PPP got you real stupidy

FM
Originally Posted by Sunil:
CAL is yet to station aircrafts at CJIA connecting Guyana to Brazil and Lethem.

I always thought Lethem was in Guyana so how do you connect Guyana to Lethem?

FM
Originally Posted by Jungle Girl:
Originally Posted by Sunil:
CAL is yet to station aircrafts at CJIA connecting Guyana to Brazil and Lethem.

I always thought Lethem was in Guyana so how do you connect Guyana to Lethem?

I also wonder why T&T taxpayers ought to subsidize air service WITHIN Guyana.  Guyana has not put one penny into CAL so why are some bleating about what CAL ought to do.  They will behave like any other airline.  Fly profitable routes and avoid those that are loss makers.

FM

Add Reply

×
×
×
×
×
Link copied to your clipboard.
×
×