HYDRO ‘GONE A FALLS’…NOW LET’S MOVE ON!
By Khemraj Ramjattan
AFC Leader
The role of reliable and competitive electricity rates in the economic development of any country cannot be overstated. Given our abundant natural resources, reliable and cheap power will be a catalyst for rapid economic growth.
Over the years many investments, local and foreign, have been deterred by the high cost of power in Guyana. This challenge has never been lost to the political directorates past and present. However, the many initiatives and proposals sent in to the political directorates have not been given any serious consideration as they ought to.
With its current high cost of power, Guyana needs to explore all sources of power, fossil-based as well as renewable such as hydro, wind and solar, all of which have attractive possibilities.
Any hydropower facility would bring tremendous benefit to Guyanese. This country pays the highest rates for electricity; and, for the most unreliable supply. Though myself and the AFC are getting a good pounding from certain quarters, I maintain that the Amaila Falls project may have been a good for Guyana. And this notwithstanding its current configuration may not have immediately resulted in lower electricity rates. No doubt it needed reworking and this reworking would have come after the IDB due diligence.
I was aware of its imperfections, namely, the high cost of borrowing, the high political risk premium, foreign exchange risk (the loan is denominated in Chinese currency which is currently overvalued, any depreciation in relation to the US dollars will hike the cost of the project), inadequate hydrology data, and so on. These are serious questions which I felt would have been answered by the experts from the IDB. But now that all of that is history, these questions should be taken back to the drawing board.
Further, an independent feasibility needs to be carried out by a competent and reputable firm, followed by an open international tender for a design, build and operate facility before any commitment of taxpayers’ resources is made. At every stage of this process a reputable firm of experts must be in charge.
It was a lack of transparency, and independent professional advice that resulted in what many social commentators called a sub-optimal deal.
Now that this hydro ‘gone a falls’, to use the local term, Government needs to define a clear energy policy directed through an Independent Authority free from political influences. Such policy should include sources of fuel other than diesel and heavy fuel. It must include Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) and Compressed Natural Gas (CNG). Either of these could replace Diesel and Heavy fuel currently used by GPL, at significant reduction in fuel generation cost. I am advised that a cost of 11 cents per KWH could be achieved, which compares with the projected Amaila Falls rate under the now redundant Power Purchase Agreement with GPL.
This Energy Policy should include legislation that authorizes Private Power Companies (PPC) to stimulate private sector investments in independent power generation for supply to GPL. Again, political direction should be removed from the licencing of PPC. I am aware of too many credible investors interested in power generation being turned off by unscrupulous and corrupt demands from politicians in the present PPP leadership.
For more than 21 years the PPP Government has failed to provide reliable power supply while spending billions in taxpayers” money; and, should therefore stay out of generation.
GPL also needs to be more efficient in its operations or needs to be privatized. As has been demanded by so many, any restructuring of GPL must start with the removal of the entire Board of Directors and its replacement by a Board of competent professionals. The current Board has no regard for cost control and efficiency. The move to LNG or CNG should have been made a long time ago. This lack of entrepreneurial leadership and competence is what we will now pay for. It continues to spend scare resources on diesel and heavy fuel generation when all around us and the entire world is moving to LNG and renewables.
There is no Amaila Falls in Barbados or Jamaica, Antigua or even little St. Kitts and Nevis. Yet the cost of power there is lower and there are never any blackouts.
The present GPL believes that it will continue to pass its inefficiency and incompetence in the form of higher tariff to an already over-taxed populace.
The AFC rejects the continuation of this vulgar modus operandi of GPL and will hesitate to support calls for the further subsidisation of GPL, a further tax of the Guyanese consumer.
I believe that in our coastal and city areas, wind, solar and LNG should be pursued until we manage to get financing for a major hydro, like Amaila, in the near future. Private sector investment ought to be attracted here with suitable fiscal and other incentives.