Post-NH South Carolina poll!
Biden 28%
Sanders 20%
Steyer 14%
Buttigieg 8%
Amy Klobuchar 7%
Elizabeth Warren 7%
Hispanic or Latino/a support in Nevada, via new Data For Progress poll:
Sanders 66%
Steyer 8%
Biden 7%
Klobuchar 7%
Warren 5%
Buttigieg
Former Member
I don't think Sanders can get 66%. Point Blank Political:
Steyer 18.6%
Klobuchar 15.6%
Biden 14.3%
Sanders 13%
Former Member
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) holds a 19-point lead in Nevada, the next state to vote in the 2020 presidential nominating contest, according to a poll released Monday.
Progressive pollster Data for Progress found the democratic socialist with 35 percent support Nevada ahead of its caucus on Saturday. Clumped behind him are Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and former Vice President Joe Biden, with 16 percent, 15 percent and 14 percent support, respectively.
Twenty-one percent of respondents back other candidates, including 10 percent for philanthropist Tom Steyer and 9 percent for Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.).
Sanders held an overwhelming advantage among voters under age 45, who backed him at 64 percent, and Hispanic voters, who supported him at 66 percent. No other candidate registered in the double digits for Hispanic support.
The independent senator also has the highest net favorability rate at 38 percent, with 68 percent having a favorable view of him and 30 percent unfavorable. Warren followed with a 35 percent net favorability rate.
Sanders won the New Hampshire primary last week and came in a close second to Buttigieg in Iowa the week before.
Nevada will be the most diverse state for the 2020 candidates so far, so a Sanders win would further solidify him as a front-runner.
The Data for Progress poll surveyed 766 likely caucus goers between Feb. 12 and 15. The margin of error is 3.4 percentage points.
Former Member
Sanders will give Trump the election as he did in 2016. I prefer to see Bloomberg as an alternative to Biden. The rest is just wishing. Mayor Pete is almost finished. Warren is on her last lap. Klobuchar is not going anywhere. I think she is auditioning for VP. Steyer...I don't know.
Former Member
Bloomberg will also get support from moderate Republicans so he may end up being the best choice for the Democrats. Maybe that is why FoxNews is scared of him.
Former Member
Mini Mike is a repeat of Crooked Hillary. Democrats like repeating the same mistakes over and over again. Denying Bernie again will ensure that most of his loyal supporters stay home and hand Trump a handsome victory.
All you try deh.
skeldon_man posted:I don't think Sanders can get 66%. Point Blank Political:
Steyer 18.6%
Klobuchar 15.6%
Biden 14.3%
Sanders 13%
At least say where the is for, schupps.
ksazma posted:Bloomberg will also get support from moderate Republicans so he may end up being the best choice for the Democrats. Maybe that is why FoxNews is scared of him.
You are saying there are no democrats to beat Trump, and you need a more radical republican.
MEMO: SANDERS HAS STRONG LEAD IN NEVADA
Authors: Sean McElwee, Executive Director of Data for Progress, Jason Ganz, CTO of Data for Progress, Ryan O’Donnell, Senior Polling Advisor, Data for Progress, Ethan Winter, Senior Adviser
Key Findings:
Senator Bernie Sanders has a commanding nineteen point in the Nevada caucus, with 35 percent of likely caucusgoers supporting him. He is followed by Senator Elizabeth Warren, former Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Former Vice President Joe Biden who are all tightly clustered at 16, 15 and 14 percentage points, respectively.
Senator Amy Klobuchar, whose third place finish in the New Hampshire primary garnered considerable media coverage sits in sixth place with 9 percent of likely caucusgoers supporting her.
Sanders performs extremely well with Hispanic likely caucusgoers, registering 66 percent support, with no other candidate cracking double digits. He continues to see strong support among younger voters, with likely caucusgoers under 45 supporting him at 64 percent. Of those who have made up their mind, Sanders registers 47 percent support.
Democratic voters strongly support both Medicare for All (69 percent in support, 23 percent opposed) and a Green New Deal (93 percent in support, 6 percent opposed).
Data for Progress conducted a poll of 766 likely Nevada caucusgoers from 2/12/2020 through 2/15/2020. Likely caucusgoers were identified from the Nevada voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. Our margin of error is +/- 3.4 percent.
After coming away with the most votes in each of the two first contests of the Democratic primary, Bernie Sanders is going into the Nevada caucus in a strong position. He may leave in a dominant position. With a nearly 20 point lead over his next most supported opponent, Senator Sanders is in a strong position to solidify his frontrunner status with his showing in Nevada. From there we will see the strength of Joe Biden’s “firewall” in South Carolina (2/29), followed shortly by Super Tuesday (3/2). It should be noted however that Nevada is a notoriously hard state to poll and that there is enough time between now and the caucus for things to change.
Bernie’s base of support is found both among voters under 45 and Hispanic voters. Among voters under 45, he holds a 50 point lead over Warren who sits in second place with 14 percent. Meanwhile, 66 percent of Hispanic likely caucusgoers back Sanders, with the rest of the field accounting for the remaining 34 percentage points.
Sanders enjoys the majority backing (54 percentage points) of self-described “very liberal” likely caucusgoers and holds a plurality lead (31 percentage points) among self-described “somewhat liberal voters.”
On net, Sanders leads the field with a 38 percentage point favorability rating (68 percent favorable, 30 percent unfavorable). Warren is in second a 35 point net favorability. Steyer sits in third place with a 31 percentage point favorable rating (59 percent favorable, 28 percent unfavorable). He is followed by Klobuchar at 28 percent (55 percent favorable, 27 percent unfavorable) and Buttigieg at 19 percent (54 percent favorable, 35 percent unfavorable). Biden, Bloomberg, and Gabbard are all underwater at -2 percentage points, -16 percentage points, -38 percentage points, respectively.
Nevada will be the most diverse to go to the polls so far during this primary. If Sanders walks away with a win, it will be in large part because of his sizable levels of support among Hispanic voters.
A Green New Deal enjoys overwhelming support among Nevada Democratic likely caucusgoers. The massive investment in clean-energy jobs and infrastructure enjoys an 87 percentage point margin of support (93 percent support, 6 percent oppose).
Medicare for All is strongly supported by Nevada likely caucusgoers, with 69 percent in support and 23 opposed.
Conclusion
A strong Sanders showing in Nevada will cement his status as the primary’s current frontrunner. Meanwhile, Nevada could be the third disappointing showing for Biden in as many contests. He will then lead what can only be described as a lethargic campaign into South Carolina at the end of this month, a state where he’s set up to perform better but is by no means assured victory.
Former Member
Sanders is as odious to me as trump. I cannot see that doddering mean spirited fellow as the president. He is a trump on the left.
The american people are truly a confused bunch if they decide on these two as desirables for office.
Former Member
Trump is going to kill Sanders with the "socialist" argument. Elizabeth Warren will be no match for Trump. He will continue to repeat "Pocahontas and will get her pissed. In SC the republicans are encouraging their supporters to go out and vote for Sanders. Sanders will not win delegates down south. This is going to the wire.
The DNC allowed its debate rules to eliminate candidates of color but changed them for a white billionaire who still supports the Iraq war, presided over racist police policies, spied on Muslims, and was a lifelong Republican with the record to prove it.
Former Member
I would prefer Bloomberg over Sanders...Sanders is not even a Democrat...plus his supporters are not loyal to the Democratic party
Former Member
Ray posted:I would prefer Bloomberg over Sanders...Sanders is not even a Democrat...plus his supporters are not loyal to the Democratic party
I have always said that Sanders is not a democrat. Why is he vying for the presidential candidate using the democratic party? He is an angry old man as shown by his attitude in 2016. A poor selfish loser.
For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.
Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.
Former Member
kp posted:For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.
Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.
Democrats need the Latino and the African American votes. I hope they can go out and vote this year and not just sit there watching TV. With Trump on an evil journey, he needs to be stopped. He, Stephen Miller, Bar, and Pompeo will make this country a whites-only country and take away everyone's rights. He wants to be a dictator who is in to profit for himself and family.
Former Member
Abu Jihad posted:The DNC allowed its debate rules to eliminate candidates of color but changed them for a white billionaire who still supports the Iraq war, presided over racist police policies, spied on Muslims, and was a lifelong Republican with the record to prove it.
That is not the mistake. It is allowing 99 percent white states to be the winnowing machine for acceptable candidates. of the remaining; candidates, I would trust the women more than the men and warren most of all since she is a thinker. planner and listener. Wherever she has it wrong is subject to chance. She is also the smartest of the lot. Chances are we will end up with another billionaire and definitely another old out of touch white man.
Former Member
skeldon_man posted:kp posted:For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.
Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.
Democrats need the Latino and the African American votes. I hope they can go out and vote this year and not just sit there watching TV. With Trump on an evil journey, he needs to be stopped. He, Stephen Miller, Bar, and Pompeo will make this country a whites-only country and take away everyone's rights. He wants to be a dictator who is in to profit for himself and family.
They are going to get both of those by default. The problem is what volume will be inspired by the selected candidate to turn out The margins are slim and the republicans can only win with low turnout or by voter suppression tactics.
skeldon_man posted:kp posted:For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.
Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.
Democrats need the Latino and the African American votes. I hope they can go out and vote this year and not just sit there watching TV. With Trump on an evil journey, he needs to be stopped. He, Stephen Miller, Bar, and Pompeo will make this country a whites-only country and take away everyone's rights. He wants to be a dictator who is in to profit for himself and family.
That's why I feel Bloomberg will be the right person to cut him down, Bloomberg knows Trump inside out, Trump always wants to be like Bloomberg, naming his company after his name.
To get to the top ,sometimes you may hurt some, but look at the greater GOOD. The stop and frisk proved to be a success, crime came down and lots of the Bad Guys are in prison. The Blacks and coloured races may not be happy, but the community became safer.
One must ask the question WHY, although the Blacks and coloured are the minority ,yet they are the Majority in Jail, in America, Canada.???
D2 posted:Abu Jihad posted:The DNC allowed its debate rules to eliminate candidates of color but changed them for a white billionaire who still supports the Iraq war, presided over racist police policies, spied on Muslims, and was a lifelong Republican with the record to prove it.
That is not the mistake. It is allowing 99 percent white states to be the winnowing machine for acceptable candidates. of the remaining; candidates, I would trust the women more than the men and warren most of all since she is a thinker. planner and listener. Wherever she has it wrong is subject to chance. She is also the smartest of the lot. Chances are we will end up with another billionaire and definitely another old out of touch white man.
Do not disagree, but the DNC must take fault for welcoming him with open arms.
Former Member
kp posted:skeldon_man posted:kp posted:For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.
Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.
Democrats need the Latino and the African American votes. I hope they can go out and vote this year and not just sit there watching TV. With Trump on an evil journey, he needs to be stopped. He, Stephen Miller, Bar, and Pompeo will make this country a whites-only country and take away everyone's rights. He wants to be a dictator who is in to profit for himself and family.
That's why I feel Bloomberg will be the right person to cut him down, Bloomberg knows Trump inside out, Trump always wants to be like Bloomberg, naming his company after his name.
To get to the top ,sometimes you may hurt some, but look at the greater GOOD. The stop and frisk proved to be a success, crime came down and lots of the Bad Guys are in prison. The Blacks and coloured races may not be happy, but the community became safer.
One must ask the question WHY, although the Blacks and coloured are the minority ,yet they are the Majority in Jail, in America, Canada.???
You are asking why more brown and black people end up in jail and saying stop and frisk make the community safer so you gotta be confused as hell.
Tacoma Wa
D2 posted:kp posted:skeldon_man posted:kp posted:For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.
Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.
Democrats need the Latino and the African American votes. I hope they can go out and vote this year and not just sit there watching TV. With Trump on an evil journey, he needs to be stopped. He, Stephen Miller, Bar, and Pompeo will make this country a whites-only country and take away everyone's rights. He wants to be a dictator who is in to profit for himself and family.
That's why I feel Bloomberg will be the right person to cut him down, Bloomberg knows Trump inside out, Trump always wants to be like Bloomberg, naming his company after his name.
To get to the top ,sometimes you may hurt some, but look at the greater GOOD. The stop and frisk proved to be a success, crime came down and lots of the Bad Guys are in prison. The Blacks and coloured races may not be happy, but the community became safer.
One must ask the question WHY, although the Blacks and coloured are the minority ,yet they are the Majority in Jail, in America, Canada.???
You are asking why more brown and black people end up in jail and saying stop and frisk make the community safer so you gotta be confused as hell.
Stop and Frisk caught the armed criminals.
Former Member
Abu Jihad posted:ksazma posted:Bloomberg will also get support from moderate Republicans so he may end up being the best choice for the Democrats. Maybe that is why FoxNews is scared of him.
You are saying there are no democrats to beat Trump, and you need a more radical republican.
Bloomberg isn’t radical bai. He is very balanced.
Former Member
Bai, Abu, you're on the ball. There will be a fracture in the Democratic Party if Bernie is denied.
Former Member
Sean posted:Bai, Abu, you're on the ball. There will be a fracture in the Democratic Party if Bernie is denied.
What does the party have to do with if bernie loses...which he will?
Former Member
I admire Bernie because he has been subjecting himself to water hose treatment since the seventies. However, while I commend him for the things he strives for, free education and healthcare are not that easy to come by and they never will. Even Obama who got so much accomplished toward universal healthcare, he couldn't get the public option passed. And if Obama couldn't get the public option Bernie will not get free healthcare. All I want is a country that does not price its citizens out of education and healthcare amongst other opportunities. I don't mind paying for things. I just don't want to be gouged.
ksazma posted:I admire Bernie because he has been subjecting himself to water hose treatment since the seventies. However, while I commend him for the things he strives for, free education and healthcare are not that easy to come by and they never will. Even Obama who got so much accomplished toward universal healthcare, he couldn't get the public option passed. And if Obama couldn't get the public option Bernie will not get free healthcare. All I want is a country that does not price its citizens out of education and healthcare amongst other opportunities. I don't mind paying for things. I just don't want to be gouged.
This is"One Shot Bernie" he is preaching the impossible and hope to scrape the bottom.
With his Commie ideas he is better off take his pension and save his heart, as a Senator he has the best health care and a fat pension.
National poll by PoliticalPolls
Among Blacks:
Sanders 31%
Biden 28%
Bloomberg 21%
Warren 7%
Buttigieg 6%
Klobuchar 1%
Among Hispanics:
Sanders 41%
Biden 16%
Bloomberg 13%
Warren 13%
Buttigieg 8%
Klobuchar 0%
Among Whites:
Sanders 24%
Bloomberg 19%
Biden 15%
Buttigieg 15%
Warren 10%
Klobuchar 6%
Abu Jihad posted:Tacoma Wa
That is a big crowd and that is Trump heart land.
Former Member
Prashad posted:Abu Jihad posted:Tacoma Wa
That is a big crowd and that is Trump heart land.
It is interesting that the Democrat establishment wants Bernie out and the leftists media are promoting Bloomberg. This is a huge mistake.
All candidates at CNN town hall last night took jabs at Mini Mike Bloomberg. It is only a matter of time when they will go toe to toe with him.
Like Biden, their choice of Bloomberg may fail. He lacks support among Hispanic and African Americans. Bernie is the the most popular candidate with that demographics.
We are witnessing a repeat of the same mistake with Hillary.
Former Member
Why does Trump want Bernie to win the Democratic Primary?
Former Member
Can you provide proof that Trump made any such statement ? The only place I heard such a statement was from the Fake News Media who are promoting a known racist Bloomberg.
Former Member
Unless you blind and deaf, Trump has repeatedly said that the Dems are nor fair to Bernie...he promotes the idea that Bernie is not being treated fairly....he stays away from attacking Bernie....
Even you is repeating the same mantra....seems all you Repubs is on Bernie side
Even last night Bernie was asked why Trump is on his side....
Lots of Bernie's supporters voted for Trump last election...they are populists...not real Dems
Former Member
Bai Ray, you are an excellent example of fake news syndrome. He attacks Bernie as a socialist, have you not heard ?
There is always political strategy in play and creating and promoting division in an opponent’s camp is one of the best strategies especially if they are uncertain about a candidate.
Supporting Bernie is an excellent strategy since the Democrats are poised to lose and supporting Bernie who has already been blacklisted by the DNC and the Democrat establishment despite the fact that he is poised to win the nomination. They will use rules that are in place to deny him and hand over the candidacy to Bloomberg who will eventually lose to Trump.
Denying Bernie will create a split in the Democrat party and Bernie supporters will stay home. I heard some Democrats are going so far as to state tha Bernie is not a Democrat and this is such and outrageous argument since he represents the left wing of the party.
The Democrats have to reconcile between the popular left wing of the party and the moderates and there will always be this friction between the two factions.
The Democrats will lose despite which candidate they choose, it’s inevitable. It’s best for them to cut their losses and let Bernie get his chance and get rid of the this problem once and for all rather than risking splitting the party.
That’s for democrats to decide.
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