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FM
Former Member

Poll: Clinton holds slim lead over Trump in race to Election Day

WASHINGTON, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Democrat Hillary Clinton maintained her narrow lead over Republican rival Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential race just days ahead of the Nov. 8 election, according to two polls released on Thursday.

A New York Times/CBS poll of 1,333 registered voters found Clinton ahead by 3 percentage points, at the cusp of the Oct. 28-Nov. 1 survey's margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

RELATED: Must-win states for Hillary Clinton

http://www.aol.com/article/new...ection-day/21597964/

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RiffRaff posted:

Internal polls (the ones we don't see) tell the true story

BTW, I think ROmney was leading Obama at this time in the polls

Hillary is focused on the mechanics of voting and knows every one of her voters by county and has canvassers out there sending them to the polls. It is about retail campaigning for GOTV and not polls which at this point will not yield anything meaningful on the national level and little in the states given some one third of the votes are already cast and that is fluid beyond predictability. Hillary will win.

FM
Danyael posted:
RiffRaff posted:

Internal polls (the ones we don't see) tell the true story

BTW, I think ROmney was leading Obama at this time in the polls

Hillary is focused on the mechanics of voting and knows every one of her voters by county and has canvassers out there sending them to the polls. It is about retail campaigning for GOTV and not polls which at this point will not yield anything meaningful on the national level and little in the states given some one third of the votes are already cast and that is fluid beyond predictability. Hillary will win.

You could have been a cult leader and have many followers who would actually believe in your false prophesies. That's the truth. 

FM
Prince posted:
Danyael posted:
RiffRaff posted:

Internal polls (the ones we don't see) tell the true story

BTW, I think ROmney was leading Obama at this time in the polls

Hillary is focused on the mechanics of voting and knows every one of her voters by county and has canvassers out there sending them to the polls. It is about retail campaigning for GOTV and not polls which at this point will not yield anything meaningful on the national level and little in the states given some one third of the votes are already cast and that is fluid beyond predictability. Hillary will win.

You could have been a cult leader and have many followers who would actually believe in your false prophesies. That's the truth. 

Sorry, you make as much sense as a magpie. The reality is by tomorrow we will know who won Nevada with high certainty. Clinton 60 K ahead in early voting and has a buffer of 90K democrats over republicans so you do not need a poll here to say who is most likely the winner. She will win PA and is 4 up in North Carolina. With those in the bag she is merely creating more pathways. She will win barring something catastrophic. And  having had lightening strike many times already she is not likely to lose by a november surprise. Trump is getting a whopping.

FM
Last edited by Former Member

WASHINGTON — Five days from the U.S. presidential election, polls released Thursday showed the race narrowing, with Democrat Hillary Clinton holding on to a slim lead over Republican Donald Trump.
A New York Times/CBS poll found Clinton ahead 45 percent to 42 percent among likely voters, tighter than her nine-point lead in the same poll in mid-October. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points.

FM

Clinton-45% and Trump-42%; with a 3% margin of error, interpretation ..

1. Clinton 45% --- Trump 39% == Quite possible.

2. Clinton 48% --- Trump 42% == Quite possible.

3. Clinton 45% --- Trump 42% == Quite Possible.

4. Clinton 42% --- Trump 45% == Probable.

5. Clinton 45% --- Trump 45% == Statistical tie.

While the election is merging as a close one, information specifically in the key states shows that Hillary Clinton is ahead and will have more than the needed electoral numbers to win the election.

FM
Demerara_Guy posted:

Clinton-45% and Trump-42%; with a 3% margin of error, interpretation ..

1. Clinton 45% --- Trump 39% == Quite possible.

2. Clinton 48% --- Trump 42% == Quite possible.

3. Clinton 45% --- Trump 42% == Quite Possible.

4. Clinton 42% --- Trump 45% == Probable.

5. Clinton 45% --- Trump 45% == Statistical tie.

While the election is merging as a close one, information specifically in the key states shows that Hillary Clinton is ahead and will have more than the needed electoral numbers to win the election.

All polls are subject to change before election day. Amen.

FM

If Trump is off 1-2% in key battleground states, Hillary should be worried.  Trump has many silent supporters in all quarters who remain quiet to avoid controversy.  This extends even to Black people, so alyuh be careful thinking the polls are everything.  Furthermore, many of Trumps first time voters are not represented in these polls, and they are significant!

A TRUMP victory will be great for America!!

FM
ba$eman posted:

If Trump is off 1-2% in key battleground states, Hillary should be worried.  Trump has many silent supporters in all quarters who remain quiet to avoid controversy.  This extends even to Black people, so alyuh be careful thinking the polls are everything.  Furthermore, many of Trumps first time voters are not represented in these polls, and they are significant!

A TRUMP victory will be great for America!!

Man, you are deploying the lost tribe of the amazon theory again. There are no more lost tribes to votes trump to be gotten in a finite white population. Demographically their preference and taste is completely mapped by all of the scavenging tools from google to credit agencies among others. Every republican and democrat and independent are mapped to the house at this point. Trump will lose because he does not have the numbers are against him.

FM

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