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August 27, 2015
New Hampshire Odds and Ends
PPP's newest New Hampshire poll finds that Maggie Hassan will be clearly favored if she runs for another term as Governor- but if she moves on to a Senate bid Republicans may start out with a slight advantage in the race to replace her.
Hassan, who is generally popular with a 48/42 approval rating, would lead Chris Sununu 48/41 and Jeb Bradley 48/39 in hypothetical contests. Those margins are pretty much in line with what she won by last year. If Hassan doesn't seek reelection most of the Democrats named as potential replacements for her would start out with a name recognition deficit against their likely Republican opponents. While Sununu (71% name recognition) and Bradley (56% name recognition) are both known to a majority of voters in the state, the Democratic trio of Terie Norelli (27% name recognition), Chris Pappas (25% name recognition), and Colin Van Ostern (21% name recognition) are all largely unknown.
That disparity in name id likely explains why Sununu and Bradley lead Norelli, Pappas, and Van Ostern by 4-7 points in hypothetical contests. Sununu is up 38/34 on Pappas, 39/34 on Norelli, and 39/32 on Van Ostern. Bradley is up 38/33 on Pappas, 39/33 on Norelli, and 38/31 on Van Ostern. With large swaths of voters undecided in every possible match up the race is pretty undefined at this point.
Other notes from New Hampshire:
-60% of voters in the state support a policy that sets a goal of producing 50% of America's energy needs from renewable sources by 2030, compared to only 25% of voters who oppose that concept. Among the critical independent voters who tend to decide elections in New Hampshire support for that is even more emphatic, with 62% of them in favor of it to only 18% who are opposed.
-Granite State voters think funding for public schools needs to be increased, and that one of the outcomes of that increased funding should be higher teacher salaries. 57% of voters think education funding should be increased compared to only 16% who think it should be decreased and 22% who think it's fine where it is. 47% think teachers are paid too little, to just 15% who think they're paid too much. With independents 59% think there needs to be more money given to public schools and 50% believe teachers are under paid.
Posted by Tom Jensen at 05:56 AM in baseball, Blog, Governor 2016, Gun control, Jeanne Shaheen, Maggie Hassan, New Hampshire, Polls, Scott Brown, Sports | Permalink | Comments (0) ShareThis
August 26, 2015
Ayotte/Hassan a Toss Up; Clinton/Sanders Generally Lead GOP Field
PPP's newest New Hampshire Senate poll continues to find that a contest between Kelly Ayotte and Maggie Hassan would start out as a toss up. Ayotte gets 44% to 43% for Hassan, making this the third time this year we've polled this match up and found the candidates within one point of each other.
Hassan (48/42 approval) is actually more popular than Ayotte (38/46 approval). But a big part of what drives Ayotte's approval numbers down is that she's at only 64/25 with Republicans. She still leads Hassan 81/12 with Republicans in a head to head though, so most of those GOP voters who aren't happy with her still prefer her to a Democratic alternative. The reason for Ayotte's ever so modest advantage is that she gets 14% of Democrats compared to Hassan's 12% of Republicans. Ayotte would lead Chris Pappas 45/31 in a hypothetical contest.
Democrats lead 14 out of 15 of the general election match ups we tested in the state. The strongest Republican is John Kasich, who leads Hillary Clinton 43/41. While the rest of the Republican hopefuls trail with independents, Kasich ties her with them at 38%. And Kasich is also winning over 14% of the Democratic vote to Clinton's 10% of Democrats.
2 other Republicans come close to Clinton in the state. Her lead over Donald Trump is just 2 points at 46/44, and her advantage over Carly Fiorina is 3 points at 45/42. On the other side of the spectrum Clinton has double digit leads against Rand Paul (10 points at 47/37), Ted Cruz (11 points at 49/38), and Mike Huckabee (13 points at 49/36). Everyone else Clinton leads by 7 or 8 points- 46/39 over Jeb Bush, 46/38 over Chris Christie, 47/39 over Marco Rubio and Scott Walker, and 48/40 over Ben Carson.
Continue reading "Ayotte/Hassan a Toss Up; Clinton/Sanders Generally Lead GOP Field" ยป
Looks like PPP mystic.
Banna I in some serious training to post newsclips, especially those foreign language ones, they provide so much information, my goodness.