VishMahabir posted:The PNC/coalition still has a wild card, namely the chance that there will be some signs of economic development that will impact some of the lower class by 2020.
In fact the PNC base is very loud in wailing that money isn't running in Guyana right now. And when the PNC City Council chases them off the side walk when they try to make a living, treating them much like the PPP did.
I bet some will shrug their shoulders and find other things to do come election day. So yes race will determine the votes but if 70% of the Indians and 55% of the blacks/mixed vote no where that the coalition wins.
The coalition definitely does NOT get that 5% of votes from the few who vote issues who wanted them to be better than the PPP was. In fact as soon as they came in they gave themselves a 30-50% pay raise, with Moses Nagamootoo leading the demand for this and Granger doing nothing to stop him.
Then they gave the civil servants and the police the same raises that the PPP did. GRA remains a nest of corrupt vipers as it was under the PPP and its the same (Indian) oligarchs who benefit. That the race of those who now get bribes (black and mixed elites with some Indians in the pack too) doesn't impress the black masses. In fact it enrages them. Many feel that they were used in 2015 and will definitely remind the coalition when they come knocking come this LGE a few months from now.
I will be shocked if the coalition doesn't lose serious ground in the LGE. Not because the PPP has made inroads, but because only the PPP base will show up.
Understand this. An impoverished Indian derives pride that the oligarchy is majority Indian so will be kicked by the PPP and used to further the interests of this group. Impoverished blacks don't care about black elites who enrich themselves thru corruption and crony deals.
In fact the corrupt PNC officials are even bold enough to whisper (and not so softly either) that "is de coolie who get de money to gimme a raise so I wuk wid he".