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Rebuilding Guyana’s economy was a herculean task

- Finance Minister reflects on 22 years of PPP/C in Office

October 15, 2014, Source - Guyana Chronicle

 

Rebuilding Guyana’s economy was a herculean task
Finance Minister Dr. Ashni Singh

 

FROM a state of being internationally discredited, bankrupt and infrastructurally dilapidated just over two decades ago, Guyana today has been transformed with brighter prospects than ever before in its history.

 

Finance Minister, Dr. Ashni Singh said that this was a herculean task which the PPP/C Administration undertook imperviously over the past 22 years in Office.Speaking on the television programme “Political Scope” on the National Communications Network (NCN) yesterday, the Minister said that undemocratic rule under the PNC inflicted severe destruction on every aspect of national life.

 

Mismanagement
Every sector of the economy had declined dramatically. The imposition of a programme of mass nationalisation of industries saw foreign investors having their assets expropriated and forced out of Guyana. The financial struggles created by poor economic policies were compounded by mismanagement of public funds.


“It’s one thing to nationalise, but to nationalise and mismanage is worse. The environment was so unfavourable to investment that the domestic entrepreneurial class left because they could not survive in the environment of PNC misrule,” Minister Singh recalled.


By the time the PPP/C assumed office in 1992, the country was bankrupt. There were no foreign reserves, an accumulated foreign debt of over U.S. $2B and nothing to show for it.


Many institutions of State were non-functional and Guyanese citizens were extremely despondent. Minister Singh made reference to a report commissioned in 1990 by the Caribbean Council of Churches in which the state of despair and hopelessness among the populace was prominently mentioned.

 

Shifted priorities
With the restoration of democracy in 1992, came the reinstatement of hope and credibility in the country as well.


“I believe that much has been achieved. Today, institutions are largely rebuilt, democracy is alive and well, we have a free press, a vibrant parliament, a well-functioning and resourced elections commission and a judiciary that is highly modernised and independent,” the Finance Minister said.


While the PNC invested more on foreign services and the Office of the President than in the social sector, the new Administration shifted its expenditure priorities to invest more in infrastructure and human capital.


Minister Singh explained that more focus was placed on ensuring that basic needs of the people, like access to primary education, primary health care services and housing, were met.


“We first of all relooked at expenditure priorities to invest in things that matter. Today every single young employed person can realistically aspire to own their own home. We looked at establishing a legislative environment that would be conducive to private enterprise development. We removed all controls over the economy, and put in place a strong financial sector,” the Finance Minister outlined.


These efforts resulted in rebuilt infrastructure and a return of investors since the country was no longer viewed as a pariah State.

 

Reversing decline
Minister Singh noted that often times Guyana is ranked as below its sister CARICOM countries and he reminded that this country has traversed a different and arguably more difficult path than the rest of the Caribbean.


He explained that other countries in the Caribbean, since their independence, have been steadily growing; however, economic growth in Guyana declined steeply in 1990. This disparity in growth is clearly illustrated in the UNDP’s most recent Human Development Index (HDI) report.


“While the rest of the Caribbean was growing, we reached the bottom, and it was only with the restoration of democracy in 1992 that Guyana reversed that trend and started to grow again. For the greater part of post-1992, our efforts were devoted to playing catch-up and reversing the decline,” the Finance Minister said.


Having triumphed over those difficult years, the Guyanese economy is today more resilient and diversified than ever before, recording eight years of uninterrupted economic growth.


The Minister noted that while these are laudable achievements, “our work is not complete and as a Government we are under no illusions about that. We shouldn’t take for granted the progress that we have made. We need to work hard as a country to protect what we have achieved and to build on it.”

 

Debt management
Another marked accomplishment for the current Administration is the reduction of a tremendous debt burden that was inherited from the PNC. The country’s debt to GDP ratio was almost 700 percent; approximately 95 percent of Government revenue was spent servicing debt.


This meant that out of every dollar, 95 cents had to repay debt alone and the country had to borrow to pay public service wages and other routine services of Government. Today, 22 years later, debt to GDP ratio is in the vicinity of 60 percent. The country now spends less than 10 percent of revenue servicing debt.


Minister Singh said that this is by no mean, a trivial achievement; it is the result of hard work and a tremendous global effort of advocating debt relief. He noted that debt write-off is only possible if a country demonstrates credibility and a responsible policy framework.

 

Striking a balance
“To get to the point at which we are today, it took hard policy choices. Our Government did not shy away from making those difficult policy choices. There were times when there might have been things that were politically attractive and expedient to do, but they would have undermined our long-term fiscal viability,” he said.


“A responsible Government is not about doing what is popular, but about safeguarding the future of your country…the PPP has demonstrated that as a party in Government, we are about responsible leadership, striking the right balance between the demands of today and safeguarding the long-term future of our country,” Minister Singh said.


One of those difficult choices was the introduction of the Value Added Tax (VAT) of which the Opposition is highly critical. Today, VAT has not only contributed significantly to Government revenue, but has also allowed for a reduction in other taxes, such as the income and corporate taxes. Over the past six years, the income tax threshold has more than doubled.


Going forward, Minister Singh said that the Government is firmly committed to continuing the progress that has been made despite the challenges posed by the current parliamentary configuration.


He described the Opposition’s use of its parliamentary majority as reckless and obstructive, using blackmail politics to extract unreasonable political concessions in exchange for doing what is right for Guyana.


“At every step there have been attempts to frustrate. The Opposition is in the business of brandishing power; practicing politics of brute force and intimidation,” he said. (GINA)

 

Source - http://guyanachronicle.com/reb...as-a-herculean-task/

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Originally Posted by Cobra:
Originally Posted by HM_Redux:

You don't have to worry the future government will rebuild the economy.

Then you're talking about the PPP. Thank you, sir!

HEHEHE Yuh seee meh tell yuh he brain dead.

Nehru

 

“While the rest of the Caribbean was growing, we reached the bottom, and it was only with the restoration of democracy in 1992 that Guyana reversed that trend and started to grow again. For the greater part of post-1992, our efforts were devoted to playing catch-up and reversing the decline,” the Finance Minister said.

 

 

This is a lie. The economy was already growing under Hoyte before the PPP came into power and after the Socialist policies of Burnham and Jagan were reversed.

 

It fell apart due to the communist nationalization policies put in place by both the PNC and the PPP who voted for them and provided the "critical support" necessary for them to be executed. The same shyte would have happened anyway if the PPP were in power at that time since we see today the devastating effects of nationalization on the economies of Venezuela and Argentina who were once a lot richer than Guyana. 

Mars
Last edited by Mars

Guyana barely outperformed the world economy from 1992 to 2012September 22, 2012
Dear Editor,

The PPP likes to parade economic growth as if it contributes to it in any significant way when it doesn’t. Guyana’s economy improved marginally under the PPP. Guyana has developed in the past 20 years in spite of the PPP. The PPP’s economic performance cannot be assessed using childishly elementary analysis from the PPP spinners where they present Guyana’s GDP per capita of US$509 in 1992 and US$2869 in 2012 and the US $2360 growth in 20 years as evidence of the PPP government’s superior performance.

That is facile reasoning simply because every single free market economy not upstaged by war, famine or other biblical catastrophe has grown in the past 20 years. The real question is not one of growth but the extent, type and nature of that growth. Doing so requires comparison against the world economy. The Guyana economy grew 71.686% since 1992 at an annualized rate of 3.584% per year. By contrast, the world economy grew 70% over the same 20-year period for an average annualized growth rate of 3.50%. The PPP’s Guyana from 1992 to 2012 outperformed the world economy by a miserable 0.084% every year. That is a shameful performance for a country with Guyana’s distinct advantages of (1) small population, (2) high debt write-offs, (3) significant per capita natural resource allocation, (4) English-speaking population, (5) cheap labour, (6) proximity to Latin American, Brazilian, South American and North American markets and (7) significant remittance inflows. We missed out on the commodity booms and instead cocaine became our strongest export in the past 20 years.

Now that we know the PPP’s dismal economic performance in relation to the rest of the world, we must consider the type of economy inherited by the PPP. The PPP operates Hoyte’s economy without any significant alterations over the past 20 years. Hoyte handed the PPP an economy that grew by 6.026% and 7.758% in 1991 and 1992 respectively. The PPP got a booming economy from the PNC, ready for takeoff in a free market system.


The economy has sputtered since. The PPP’s claim to fame as an economic rejuvenator is bogus. Its lifelong excuse of inheriting a broken economy from the PNC does not fly any more. The following countries all had decrepit socialist and communist economies – USSR, China, India, Vietnam, Albania, Angola, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Cambodia, Mongolia, Poland, Romania, former Yugoslavia republics, Ukraine, Belarus, Algeria, Indonesia, Nicaragua, Seychelles and Suriname – and they have all outperformed the PPP’s Guyana. The lawful and non-remittance economy has barely improved under the PPP.

 

Remittances have grown significantly to currently account for 25% of the GDP. Dr Clive Thomas calculates the underground economy as being anywhere from 30% to 60% of the entire economy. Using the median of 40% for the underground economy plus the 25% for remittances, approximately 65% of Guyana’s economic growth since 1992 has been propelled by remittances and illegal activity. Thus, 35% of the economic growth is from legitimate and non-remittance activity. 35% of 71.686% is 25.09%, which divided over 20 years produces annualized legitimate real GDP growth of 1.254% for the past 20 years – a shame. Even if we estimate legitimate non-remittance economic growth at 50% of 71.686, we are at annualized growth of 1.792% over the past 20 years, a pathetic figure.

With the exception of mining, and farming to a lesser extent, the indigenous lawful economic production model has only marginally improved. The economic growth under the PPP has come largely from increased remittances and the underground economy. The legitimate economy’s growth has come from primarily direct foreign investment in the mining and forestry sectors. Local legitimate capital growth has been miserable. Less than half of mined gold is declared with the rest smuggled overseas, costing the country billions in taxes and royalties.

 

The resource grants have been sold or leased at bargain basement prices further limiting the return to the nation. 35% lawful and non-remittance economic growth from a GDP per capita growth of $2360 over 20 years equals US$826 in 20 years at US$41.30 per year. If the underground economy and remittances are excluded and only lawful economic growth is counted, Guyana’s GDP per capita would have been around US$1335 today, placing it 135th out of 177 in 2011 according to the World Bank. These painful numbers likely explain why the drug trade and underground economy were allowed to flourish under the PPP. After all, ignominious economic performance always leads to being voted from office. Some simply cannot entertain the loss of power and will do anything to preserve that power.

Yours faithfully,
M Maxwell

FM
Last edited by Former Member

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