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Good posting.  You will see that EVERY election since 1997 has seen the PPP losing support. APNU GAINED support in 2011.

 

What is obvious is that increasing numbers of Guyanese no longer vote.

 

What should have you frantic though is that it is perfectly possible for the PNC to amass 166k votes, as the PPP got in 2011, as they won this amount in 2001.

 

In fact if the PPP continues the trend of seeing its support decline, and the AFC doubles its votes from PPP strongholds, the PNC will not even have to reach its 1997 and 2001 levels to beat the PPP.

 

Understand something.  Vanessa Kissoon might hate Granger but she relishes being part of a winning party more.

FM
Last edited by Former Member
Originally Posted by caribny:

Good posting.  You will see that EVERY election since 1997 has seen the PPP losing support. APNU GAINED support in 2011.

 

What is obvious is that increasing numbers of Guyanese no longer vote.

 

What should have you frantic though is that it is perfectly possible for the PNC to amass 166k votes, as the PPP got in 2011, as they won this amount in 2001.

 

In fact if the PPP continues the trend of seeing its support decline, and the AFC doubles its votes from PPP strongholds, the PNC will not even have to reach its 1997 and 2001 levels to beat the PPP.

 

Understand something.  Vanessa Kissoon might hate Granger but she relishes being part of a winning party more.

There are varied reasons why individuals do not vote at elections.

 

Each election, though there are indications from previous ones, are always singular and unique.

 

Third parties in Guyana grow and then radically decline.

 

Within a few months everyone will see the results of the forthcoming 2015 elections.

 

On a note to your reference about Vanessa Kissoon; the same dialogue can be expressed for those who have not voted for the PPP/C in the last election.

FM

DE Hydro Seed Engineer gon run and hide now....

 

Look what this Idiot Said before the Last Elections......

 

          Indiana Jones
 
         
          September 20, 2011 3:00 AM

Popular Vote - 2011 Elections
PPP/ C ............. > 60 %
APNU ............................. < 30 %
AFC................................ < 10 %
Others Combined about  ...  03 %
FM
Originally Posted by Demerara_Guy:
Originally Posted by caribny:

DG why are so ashamed of your 2011 predictions?

I stand by my 2011 prediction which were about 5% less than the PPP/C obtained at the elections.

 

The quoted reference is indeed mine at a much earlier stage during preliminary discussions which I adjusted closer to the elections date.

De Hydro Seed Prediction

Popular Vote - 2011 Elections

PPP/ C ............. > 60 %  

..........Results 48%

 

 

Popular Vote - 2015 Elections

 

PPP/ C ............. > 50 %   

..........Results 28%

 

De Hydro Seed Get Bigger

since 2011

FM
Originally Posted by Demerara_Guy:
Originally Posted by caribny:

DG why are so ashamed of your 2011 predictions?

I stand by my 2011 prediction which were about 5% less than the PPP/C obtained at the elections.

 

The quoted reference is indeed mine at a much earlier stage during preliminary discussions which I adjusted closer to the elections date.

Your predictions were 60%.  Your name is NOT Mara who made the 54% forecast.

 

You were wrong by 11%.

 

Jalil is ensuring that you admit this. 

FM
Originally Posted by caribny:
Originally Posted by Demerara_Guy:
Originally Posted by caribny:

DG why are so ashamed of your 2011 predictions?

I stand by my 2011 prediction which were about 5% less than the PPP/C obtained at the elections.

 

The quoted reference is indeed mine at a much earlier stage during preliminary discussions which I adjusted closer to the elections date.

Your predictions were 60%.  Your name is NOT Mara who made the 54% forecast.

 

You were wrong by 11%.

 

Jalil is ensuring that you admit this. 

Take your time and carefully check the threads.

 

My above statement is correct.

FM
Originally Posted by caribny:

DG why are so ashamed of your 2011 predictions?

For the record, yet for a number of times ...

 

1. These numbers were made much earlier in the election process when many were offering their predictions.

2. When it got close to election time, a GNIer and I made a bet on the outcome of the elections.

3. My bet was that the PPP/C will gain about 54/55 percent of the votes.

4. I lost the bet and agreed to my commitment to purchase lunch/dinner.

5. I indicated that whenever we meet in North America or elsewhere, I shall pay the cost for the entertainment for the GNIer plus any number of his guests/friends.

 

It is your choice to find the aforementioned relevant topics and information.

FM
Originally Posted by Demerara_Guy:
Originally Posted by caribny:
Originally Posted by Demerara_Guy:
Originally Posted by caribny:

DG why are so ashamed of your 2011 predictions?

I stand by my 2011 prediction which were about 5% less than the PPP/C obtained at the elections.

 

The quoted reference is indeed mine at a much earlier stage during preliminary discussions which I adjusted closer to the elections date.

Your predictions were 60%.  Your name is NOT Mara who made the 54% forecast.

 

You were wrong by 11%.

 

Jalil is ensuring that you admit this. 

Take your time and carefully check the threads.

 

My above statement is correct.

In September 2011 you screamed PPP victory with 60%.  Go to the thread which I posted. Your post is there and I couldn't alter it.

 

TWO MONTHS before the elections.

 

So why are you so confident about 51% 3 to 4 months before the election?

 

The situation in Guyana is much more complicated than it was in 2011 now that people sniff that a PPP loss isn't the impossibility that it once was.

FM

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