@Former Member posted:The same as the last time they had him losing.
What is 'a margin of error'? Only a clown would say such a thing. What is it for the specific poll?
@Former Member posted:The same as the last time they had him losing.
What is 'a margin of error'? Only a clown would say such a thing. What is it for the specific poll?
I cannot say when is really driving it but I never saw any benefit from Obamacare between 2012 when it went fully into effect and 2017. In fact I don't remember any premium refunds coming back from the insurance carriers as there was for 2011. From 2017 until last year there were premium refunds every year and something else began happening. Suddenly I was hardly even paying for my medications. Is like they were all free. I don't know if anyone else experienced the same thing. I think that while Obama came up with this great plan it seems that his administration failed to manage/enforce it.
@Mars posted:What is 'a margin of error'? Only a clown would say such a thing. What is it for the specific poll?
I believe they said 4%. I don’t trust these when it comes to Trump.
@Mars posted:Trump’s Convention Flops As Biden DNC Drew 3 Million More Viewers
This don’t matter!
@Former Member posted:I believe they said 4%. I don’t trust these when it comes to Trump.
Show me where it states 4% or are you just going by what that clown said?
@Mars posted:Show me where it states 4% or are you just going by what that clown said?
Saw it on Fox I believe. I read flashes on my phone during the day. Don’t always remember where I read things. No need to argue, the election is coming. We will see. Last time almost everyone said I was naive to think he will win.
I tell you this, the Democrats bump was not big after their convention. Trump is safe everywhere except Florida. If Florida tightens, Trump wins.
One caveat, Mass mail-in must be prevented. It’s an avenue for electoral fraud. It’s equivalent to Burnham overseas voting.
@Former Member posted:Saw it on Fox I believe. I read flashes on my phone during the day. Don’t always remember where I read things. No need to argue, the election is coming. We will see. Last time almost everyone said I was naive to think he will win.
I tell you this, the Democrats bump was not big after their convention. Trump is safe everywhere except Florida. If Florida tightens, Trump wins.
One caveat, Mass mail-in must be prevented. It’s an avenue for electoral fraud. It’s equivalent to Burnham overseas voting.
Saw it on Fox I believe
First problem in your election analysis: Fox News. Turn off Fox. Everyone knows it is anything but fair and balanced. I saw a number of articles posted here from Fox. It should say enough that you have to turn to Fox to get a positive spin on Trump's chances. I get it, confirmation bias is a difficult to mitigate. But the first rule is to recognize it when it exist.
Last time almost everyone said I was naive to think he will win.
The last time he was running against a woman whose net negative ratings rivalled his own. There was an email scandal. There was the FBI public declarations of investigations. And don't understand the misogyny in the electorate. Polling has shown Biden with a way higher favourable rating than Trump (now) and Hillary's (then). The man is already above 50% in the popular vote. Hint: biggest mistake is to run the current election like it is the last election 4 years ago.
Democrats bump was not big after their convention
True. But that has been the trends for "convention bumps" for all parties over the last few election cycles. This is because the political environment is hyper-partisan with very few independents left in the middle to move the needle. So this was expected.
Trump is safe everywhere except Florida. If Florida tightens, Trump wins.
In which fantasy? Of the 13 states (that's right 13!) that are potential swing states Trump leads in only three (Ohio, NC and Georgia) all within the margin of error. Here is the fact as it stands today, Trump absolutely needs Florida. If he loses Florida he cannot win. However Biden has many more possibilities to get to 270 electoral votes. Biden does not need Florida. However, if he does win Florida it is most likely a solid Biden win.
One caveat, Mass mail-in must be prevented. It’s an avenue for electoral fraud.
Again turn off Fox News. Fact, mail-in voting has never shown to increase electoral fraud. https://www.reuters.com/articl...ent-it-idUSKBN2482SA
Interesting that Trump requested a mail-in ballot for himself.
Another fact, Trump said that if you had mail-in voting then :“you’d never have a Republican elected in this country again.” You know why? Because if you can't get the votes for yourself, you try to prevent the other guy from getting the votes by making it difficult for people to cast their votes. This is what they have been trying to do by increasing voter id requirements, removing polling stations in certain neighbourhoods, refusing to mandate folks get some time off to go vote which disproportionately impact hourly workers which generally has a higher minority component, among other activities.
https://www.washingtonpost.com...rying-not-say-years/
@Former Member posted:Saw it on Fox I believe. I read flashes on my phone during the day. Don’t always remember where I read things. No need to argue, the election is coming. We will see. Last time almost everyone said I was naive to think he will win.
I tell you this, the Democrats bump was not big after their convention. Trump is safe everywhere except Florida. If Florida tightens, Trump wins.
One caveat, Mass mail-in must be prevented. It’s an avenue for electoral fraud. It’s equivalent to Burnham overseas voting.
Well that explains why you’re wrong, because you saw it on Fox News. I saw the numbers at the PPP polling site. It is less than 4% and the poll results are not within the margin of error. Trump is safe? He is way behind in almost every battleground state and has to spend to defend Texas and Georgia, states where he should be way ahead. Enough of the nonsense with mail in fraud. You think every law enforcement department in this country will stand by and watch the elections being rigged. How are you going to get elections officials nationwide to be complicit in an elections rigging scheme? This is not Guyana. Trump is just trying every trick in the book to suppress the vote. He knows that a large turnout will doom his chances of winning. Voter suppression is the hallmark of the Republican playbook. They are always trying the gerrymandering tricks, shutting down polling stations in minority neighborhoods, and you must have seen the efforts to stop felons from voting in Florida even though the courts gave them the right to vote. Trump can only win this time around if cheats but the country is now wise to his tricks.
It boggles the mind how anyone can see good in that weasel trump. His own sister and niece did not speak well of him, they of all people should know the man well enough.
The RNC ... what an exercise in massive disinformation.
Melania looks good. Coke bottle good.
@Mars posted:Well that explains why you’re wrong, because you saw it on Fox News. I saw the numbers at the PPP polling site. It is less than 4% and the poll results are not within the margin of error. Trump is safe? He is way behind in almost every battleground state and has to spend to defend Texas and Georgia, states where he should be way ahead. Enough of the nonsense with mail in fraud. You think every law enforcement department in this country will stand by and watch the elections being rigged. How are you going to get elections officials nationwide to be complicit in an elections rigging scheme? This is not Guyana. Trump is just trying every trick in the book to suppress the vote. He knows that a large turnout will doom his chances of winning. Voter suppression is the hallmark of the Republican playbook. They are always trying the gerrymandering tricks, shutting down polling stations in minority neighborhoods, and you must have seen the efforts to stop felons from voting in Florida even though the courts gave them the right to vote. Trump can only win this time around if cheats but the country is now wise to his tricks.
Trump will carry all. Only Florida is a worry. It’s still early to tell, but Trump’s competitive.
Melania Trump is the American Princess of the White House.
What a bland, soul-less speech from Melania. Can't even come close to Michele Obama's.
@antabanta posted:What a bland, soul-less speech from Melania. Can't even come close to Michele Obama's.
You are racist. Because she has an accent you discount her voice. But your views will not prevail.
Donald Trump offers "total honesty." What kind of people buy this crap?
@antabanta posted:What a bland, soul-less speech from Melania.
Can't even come close to Michele Obama's.
Uninspiring and bland are extremely high praises for her speech.
And Donald Trump grimacing as she speaks.
@Former Member posted:You are racist. Because she has an accent you discount her voice. But your views will not prevail.
Her accent bothered you?
RNC scores another good night. Tuned in tomorrow, same place, same time.
Amazing... people actually praise the outrageous lies, outrageous exaggerations, and blatant massive disinformation.
That is the focus and trend of Republican's supporters.
@antabanta posted:Amazing... people actually praise the outrageous lies, outrageous exaggerations, and blatant massive disinformation.
Trump is no different from Jagdeo. They talk about great things they are doing for their country, which seems to lead to personal profit. While ordinary voters continue to suffer and their lives are divided by racial problems and disunity.
I just listened the RNC tonight and I predict that the Democrats can now pack up their tent and go home.
Republicans drove nails in the Democrat coffin tonight.
More of my comments tomorrow.
@Former Member posted:RNC scores another good night. Tuned in tomorrow, same place, same time.
I agree. Tonight was even better. Democrats can pack up and take their BLM rioters and go home.
Real Clear Politics - Source - https://www.realclearpolitics....ls/general_election/
Sunday, August 23 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) | Poll | Results | Spread |
---|---|---|---|
General Election: Trump vs. Biden | CBS News/YouGov | Biden 52, Trump 42 | Biden +10 |
The focus of Tuesday night's Republican Party Convention was to present to the public that Trump is not the real man you saw in the past years.
Now, who was in the White House during the past four years and who really is the Donald John Trump.
@Former Member posted:Latest 2020 General Election Polls
Real Clear Politics - Source - https://www.realclearpolitics....ls/general_election/
Sunday, August 23
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread General Election: Trump vs. Biden CBS News/YouGov Biden 52, Trump 42 Biden +10
Bai DG, like all you didn't learn anything from the Hillary polls ?
Democrats are done and dusted.
@Tola posted:Trump is no different from Jagdeo. They talk about great things they are doing for their country, which seems to lead to personal profit. While ordinary voters continue to suffer and their lives are divided by racial problems and disunity.
jagdoe stole a lot of tricks from Trump's playbook
@Former Member posted:I cannot say when is really driving it but I never saw any benefit from Obamacare between 2012 when it went fully into effect and 2017. In fact I don't remember any premium refunds coming back from the insurance carriers as there was for 2011. From 2017 until last year there were premium refunds every year and something else began happening. Suddenly I was hardly even paying for my medications. Is like they were all free. I don't know if anyone else experienced the same thing. I think that while Obama came up with this great plan it seems that his administration failed to manage/enforce it.
You hardly pay anything. Yey 51 million people are without health care.
Beware you owe them premiums. They are going to come for you!
Last night. Melania Trump's speech was what I expected. It was exactly what trump wasn't doing. She made Donald looked like a saint.
The first lady does not discuss issues.
@cain posted:It boggles the mind how anyone can see good in that weasel trump. His own sister and niece did not speak well of him, they of all people should know the man well enough.
during his weekly press conference 3 months ago, this freaking idiot told people to drink bleach!!!!!!! Dr. Tony Fauci stood next to him and was mortified. people were so desperate and gullible, they drank it and died. USA has the highest number of Covid deaths. we're watching to see what happens as Fall season approaches
@Former Member posted:during his weekly press conference 3 months ago, this freaking idiot told people to drink bleach!!!!!!! Dr. Tony Fauci stood next to him and was mortified. people were so desperate and gullible, they drank it and died. USA has the highest number of Covid deaths. we're watching to see what happens as Fall season approaches
... and that is Sean's idea of a great president - a verified moron who achieved the presidency on the backs of the easily manipulated who cannot think for themselves.
The democrats better reply to the First Lady's speech.
She went to Ghana and found out how blacks became slaves. Pathetic.
She spoke about the good things She was doing for children all over the world. She never said that her husband is separating children from their parents at the Mexico border. Donald Trump is "King Kance"
@Former Member posted:I agree. Tonight was even better. Democrats can pack up and take their BLM rioters and go home.
You're not just lowering the bar to accommodate the Trumps, you're dismissing the bar.
@antabanta posted:You're not just lowering the bar to accommodate the Trumps, you're dismissing the bar.
Biden did embrace the BLM movement and also mocked the audience with 'I can't breathe speech"
Democrats are done and dusted. They can take their mobs and looters and go home.
The second night of the 2020 Republican National Convention saw addresses from the first Black attorney general in Kentucky history, a former convict who was granted a full pardon after he spoke, and members of the Trump family, as well as the president's participation in the naturalization ceremony of new American citizens.
Here are five key moments from Tuesday night's portion of the convention.
COVINGTON CATHOLIC TEEN NICK SANDMANN SLAMS MEDIA, LEFT FOR 'CANCEL CULTURE' AFTER VIRAL VIDEO
Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron calls out Biden for race remarks
Daniel Cameron is the first Black attorney general in Kentucky's history, and he used his convention address to convey a message of unity, while also criticizing Democratic nominee Joe Biden for divisive remarks that he has made dealing with race.
"Democracy is a system that recognizes equality of humans before the law," Cameron said, quoting former President Dwight D. Eisenhower, adding, "whether you are the family of Breonna Taylor or David Dorn, these are the ideals that will heal our nation’s wounds.”
Cameron then brought up Biden's now-infamous comment about how if a person does not support him over Trump, "you ain't Black," and another instance in which he told a largely Black audience that Republican policies would put them "back in chains."
“Mr. Vice President, look at me. I am Black. We are not all the same, sir," Cameron said. "I am not in chains, my mind is my own, and you can’t tell me how to vote because of the color of my skin.”
Naturalization ceremony
The convention included footage of President Trump participating in a naturalization ceremony where he personally addressed new American citizens who had immigrated to the U.S. from Lebanon, Bolivia, India, Ghana and Sudan.
Trump, who has been accused of being anti-immigrant due to his hardline stance against illegal immigration, used the moment to emphasize his support for those who come to the country legally.
“You followed the rules, you obeyed the laws, you learned our history, embraced our values, and proved yourselves to be men and women of the highest integrity," Trump said during the ceremony. "It's not so easy. You went through a lot. And we appreciate you being here with us today."
The president spoke with appreciation for what it means to be American and with humility regarding his position.
"You've earned the most prized, treasured, cherished and priceless possession anywhere in the world," Trump said. "It's called American citizenship. There is no higher honor and no greater privilege. And it's an honor for me to be your president."
Trump pardons activist and former bank robber Jon Ponder
Jon Ponder, a former bank robber who went on to dedicate his life to helping ex-convicts through his Hope for Prisoners organization, spoke alongside Trump and the FBI agent who arrested Ponder, Richard Beasley.
Ponder said that in his past he had a misguided distrust of law enforcement and that he now appreciates police.
WHO IS JON PONDER, BANK ROBBER-TURNED ACTIVIST PARDONED BY TRUMP?
"Not so long ago, my life was running from the police, fearing the police, and avoiding the police," he said. "Not because of anything that the police had done to me personally, but due to the animosity I had allowed to grow inside of me, making me believe that they were my enemy. But today, praise God, I am filled with hope — a proud American citizen who has been given a second chance.”
Ponder described how he went on to connect with Beasley when he got out of prison and that the man who arrested him has since become a friend and “a source of encouragement.”
Ponder became involved in gang life when he was young and was first arrested for armed robbery at age 16. He spent the next 20 years in and out of jails before ultimately getting sent to federal prison for a drug- and alcohol-fueled bank robbery. After turning to religion while incarcerated, Ponder decided to take a different path and now helps former prisoners reenter society.
After Ponder, Beasley and Trump spoke, the president called up Ponder’s wife to be present as he granted Ponder a full pardon for his federal offense.
Earlier this year, the Nevada Pardons Board granted him clemency for his past battery convictions. Trump's pardon now clears his record of the federal bank robbery conviction.
First lady Melania Trump offers message of unity
The president's wife, Melania, delivered sobering remarks that addressed the problems facing the country while encouraging Americans to come together. She spoke about ongoing civil unrest and racial tension as well as the ongoing coronavirus pandemic that has ripped through the country.
“Like all of you, I have reflected on the racial unrest in our country. It is a harsh reality that we are not proud of parts of our history,” Melania Trump acknowledged. ”I encourage people to focus on our future while still learning from our past. We must remember that today that we are all one community comprised of many races, religions and ethnicities.”
The first lady called on people "to take a moment, pause and look at things from all perspectives," and "to come together in a civil manner so we can work and live up to standard American ideas."
"I also ask people to stop the violence and looting being done in the name of justice and never make assumptions based on the color of a person’s skin," she continued. "Instead of tearing things down, let's reflect on our mistakes.”
TIFFANY TRUMP URGES AMERICANS TO 'TRANSCEND POLITICAL BOUNDARIES' IN RNC ADDRESS
During a convention that has largely avoided talk of the coronavirus pandemic, the first lady recognized the impact that COVID-19 has had on the country while defending her husband, whose performance combating the pandemic has been heavily criticized by Biden.
“My husband’s administration will not stop fighting until there’s an effective treatment or vaccine available to everyone,” she said. “Donald will not rest until he has done all he can to take care of everyone impacted by this terrible epidemic.”
Sen. Rand Paul makes an anti-war push in support of Trump
Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., acknowledged that he and Trump do not always see eye to eye but admitted that Trump "gets things done." In his convention address, Paul recalled Trump's accomplishments, including tax reform as well as criminal justice reform, which he touted as “the first real reform in a generation, and one that sought to undo the harm that others, like Joe Biden, have done.”
The libertarian-leaning senator said his "occasional policy differences" with Trump "are far outweighed by our significant agreements," and pointed to their shared belief that “a strong America cannot fight endless wars.”
Continuing on that subject, Paul went on to criticize Biden as someone who he said has “consistently called for more war.”
“Joe Biden voted for the Iraq War, which President Trump has long called the worst geopolitical mistake of our generation,” Paul said. “I fear Biden will choose war again.”
Paul noted that Biden also “supported war in Serbia, Syria and Libya.”
CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP
“Joe Biden will continue to spill our blood and treasure,” Paul said. “President Trump will bring our heroes home.”
Paul, in a pitch directly to voters, said: “If you hate war like I hate war… you need to support President Trump for another term!”
Fox News' Megan Henney, Brooke Singman, Paul Steinhauser, Andrew O'Reilly and John Roberts contributed to this report.
Melania brought home the suburban white women vote last night. That was a crucial block of votes. They just need to spend resources and take Florida and that's it. This is over folks.
We are witnessing Hillary part two all over again.
Democrats will blame their loss on Mailboxes.
@Ramakant-P posted:The speakers last night managed to rally the GOP base.
The republicans rallied their base last night. They have to take Florida and this race is over. Minnesota is also in play for them.
Fake News CNN was stunned last night
BLM riots, looting, and burnings are hurting the Democrats.
We are seeing Hillary's playbook being repeated in 2020.
Melania was cool as cucumber last night and compare that to Michelle who sounded like a whiney menopausal woman.
@Former Member posted:The republicans rallied their base last night. They have to take Florida and this race is over. Minnesota is also in play for them.
Fake News CNN was stunned last night
BLM riots, looting, and burnings are hurting the Democrats.
We are seeing Hillary's playbook being repeated in 2020.
If they use Hillary's playbook they will win. Hillary lost because she didn't pay attention to Philadelphia and Michigan. the Russians helped The GOP in Florida. Hillary was leading by 250,000 votes and lost because of GOP rigging.
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