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FM
Former Member

Rice crisis, economic downturn worrying Essequibians

– PPP/C urged to “take back the country” during outreach

 

Residents of Essequibo Coast (Region Two) have expressed grave concerns regarding the current stagnant and depressing state of the Guyanese economy, the plight of rice farmers and millers on the coast, as Leader of the Opposition Bharrat Jagdeo led a delegation of Opposition Members of Parliament (MPs) in a three-day outreach there last week. The delegation which included Anil Nandlall, Irfaan Ali, Zulfikar Mustapha, Dharamkumar Seeraj, Dr Bheri Ramsarran and others, saw some forty community meetings held across the Essequibo Coast.

 

Rice crisis During the outreach, which saw the team interacting with residents, the most prominent issue raised was that of the current state of uncertainty in the rice industry and the government’s failure to act judiciously to rescue the sector, which as recent as last crop was a flourishing one. Many residents, the majority of whom are rice farmers or depend on the industry, explained that they are finding it extremely difficult to survive, since the industry is now unprofitable. Many of them also explained that they owe the banks and cannot afford to pay. In face of the collapsed Venezuelan rice deal which, in 2014, accounted for US$130 million of Guyana’s US$250 million total rice exports, residents called on the Opposition Leader and his team to lobby for subsidies for them so they could go back to the fields. Some residents also noted that they supported the APNU/AFC in the May 11 elections, but are sorely disappointed, especially since the promises made by leaders from the government, particularly in the rice industry, have not materialised. During the campaign period, the APNU/AFC had promised farmers up to $6000 per bag of paddy once elected. Now that the APNU/AFC has be elected and given the opportunity to prove themselves, rice farmers feel deceived since they are only receiving $2000 and less per bag this crop. In response Jagdeo and delegation promised that the PPP/C will canvass the government for the immediate removal of all taxes on fuel, fertilizer and other materials used in the rice industry; stop the collection of all rents from government-leased lands; negotiate with the commercial banks to adjust and reschedule loans of rice farmers and millers; pay rice farmers a subsidy until normalcy is returned; and resume efforts to regain the Venezuelan market: as well as pursue new markets. Jagdeo also claimed that Guyana can get back the Venezuela rice deal, and expressed his Party’s readiness to assist the government in this regard. However he said, based on utterances by government, including the President and Minister of Agriculture, there seem to be no interest in reclaiming the deal or to assist the ailing industry.

Gloomy economy Many Essequibians expressed frustration at the economic slowdown and the irresponsible manner in which the David Granger-led coalition government is managing the nation’s economic affairs. Residents in the region said since the APNU/AFC took office just over five months ago, the business climate on the Coast has been very worrying. They explained that there has been a slowdown in the circulation of cash and less people are doping business. Some say their daily sales have dropped by as much as 70 per cent. Meanwhile, the Opposition Leader and his delegation explained to residents that the Granger administration seems to have an obsession with spending, but is failing miserably in creating jobs and other revenue-generating avenues. He warned that if this trend continues, the country will face serious economic hardships in the not too distant future. Jagdeo also lamented the administration’s failure to create any economic stimulus to motivate investments.

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Many Essequibians expressed frustration at the economic slowdown and the irresponsible manner in which the David Granger-led coalition government is managing the nation’s economic affairs. Residents in the region said since the APNU/AFC took office just over five months ago, the business climate on the Coast has been very worrying.

FM

The government and the rice sectors

OCTOBER 30, 2015 | BY  | FILED UNDER EDITORIALFEATURES / COLUMNISTS 

Over the past decade under the PPP, the productive sectors in the Guyanese economy were crippled.  We had bumper production in rice, but how productive was the industry?  The PPP did very little to improve productivity. If it were not for the lucrative Venezuelan market, the industry would have melted since 2008.
Last year, it cost on average G$1,700 to produce and deliver a bag of paddy to the mill.  The millers then offered on average G$3,500 per bag of paddy to the farmers.  If this paddy was shipped to Venezuela, the millers earn about G$8,650 per bag of paddy.  The bottom line was – because of Hugo Chavez, everybody made money in the rice sector and very few paid attention to improving its productivity.
Today, it still costs $1,700 to produce and deliver a bag of paddy at the mill gate but with a now dead “Chavista” deal, millers are now earning about 50 percent of what they earned in 2014.  As the pain trickles down, the farmers can expect about G$1,800 per bag from the millers. This is not good business for the small rice farmers and it means many of them will have no choice but to rest the land for the 2016 Spring Crop unless relief arrives. Horrible socio-economic situation.
We desperately need foreign currency from the rice export trade to continue to fund our imports.  With prices and export volumes both falling, the trade balance from the rice sector will deteriorate. This will have a direct adverse impact on our balance of payment, which will adversely impact the nation’s foreign reserves.
Can we afford this situation?  Not when there is the additional impact of some level of unemployment in the industry as a result of the small farmers resting their lands. Those who are lucky can utilize their six months visa as a mitigating strategy to ride this out, but that does not help the Guyanese economy.
Clearly, the economic impact of this situation is not a private sector affair but a national crisis since it will directly affect our GDP growth for 2015.  This rice crisis demands some State intervention to ameliorate the impending hardship that will visit the homes of thousands of small rice farmers in the upcoming months as many of them engage in a tryst with privation.
When the government was appointed, they appointed a new GRDB Chairman Mr. Claude Housty, and they sold him as an expert in the rice export market.  To date, he has not outlined his plans for the GRDB.  Included in the GRDB’s mission statement is the function “…to market rice….for international markets….while providing foreign exchange earnings.” Where are the new markets to replace the now lost Venezuelan markets Mr. Housty?
But the more long term challenge is how can we all will work to enhance the productivity in the industry.  As an immediate step to motivate the small farmers, a stimulus bill needs to be laid in the National Assembly offering some help similar to what was offered to the gold mining sector – temporary duty free fuel for one or two crops.
If this situation is not skillfully addressed by the Ministry of Agriculture, more Guyanese will lose their income stream in the months to come. It is the duty of the government to put policies in place to prevent hard working people from losing their homes and their right to a livelihood.
In that rice industry stimulus bill, clear strategies have to be outlined around what will be done in the form of the drainage and irrigation system, state sponsored storage facilities to tide farmers through periods of slack markets, financial support to help small farmers set up their own small mills grounded in a co-operative movement.
The current meltdown in the rice industry is only part of a larger meltdown, and a stimulus bill in the National Assembly is only one attempt to  fix a larger developmental challenge.  But we have to start now, not tomorrow.

FM
Originally Posted by KishanB:

The government and the rice sectors

OCTOBER 30, 2015 | BY  | FILED UNDER EDITORIALFEATURES / COLUMNISTS 

Over the past decade under the PPP, the productive sectors in the Guyanese economy were crippled.  We had bumper production in rice, but how productive was the industry?  The PPP did very little to improve productivity. If it were not for the lucrative Venezuelan market, the industry would have melted since 2008.
Last year, it cost on average G$1,700 to produce and deliver a bag of paddy to the mill.  The millers then offered on average G$3,500 per bag of paddy to the farmers.  If this paddy was shipped to Venezuela, the millers earn about G$8,650 per bag of paddy.  The bottom line was – because of Hugo Chavez, everybody made money in the rice sector and very few paid attention to improving its productivity.
Today, it still costs $1,700 to produce and deliver a bag of paddy at the mill gate but with a now dead “Chavista” deal, millers are now earning about 50 percent of what they earned in 2014.  As the pain trickles down, the farmers can expect about G$1,800 per bag from the millers. This is not good business for the small rice farmers and it means many of them will have no choice but to rest the land for the 2016 Spring Crop unless relief arrives. Horrible socio-economic situation.
We desperately need foreign currency from the rice export trade to continue to fund our imports.  With prices and export volumes both falling, the trade balance from the rice sector will deteriorate. This will have a direct adverse impact on our balance of payment, which will adversely impact the nation’s foreign reserves.
Can we afford this situation?  Not when there is the additional impact of some level of unemployment in the industry as a result of the small farmers resting their lands. Those who are lucky can utilize their six months visa as a mitigating strategy to ride this out, but that does not help the Guyanese economy.
Clearly, the economic impact of this situation is not a private sector affair but a national crisis since it will directly affect our GDP growth for 2015.  This rice crisis demands some State intervention to ameliorate the impending hardship that will visit the homes of thousands of small rice farmers in the upcoming months as many of them engage in a tryst with privation.
When the government was appointed, they appointed a new GRDB Chairman Mr. Claude Housty, and they sold him as an expert in the rice export market.  To date, he has not outlined his plans for the GRDB.  Included in the GRDB’s mission statement is the function “…to market rice….for international markets….while providing foreign exchange earnings.” Where are the new markets to replace the now lost Venezuelan markets Mr. Housty?
But the more long term challenge is how can we all will work to enhance the productivity in the industry.  As an immediate step to motivate the small farmers, a stimulus bill needs to be laid in the National Assembly offering some help similar to what was offered to the gold mining sector – temporary duty free fuel for one or two crops.
If this situation is not skillfully addressed by the Ministry of Agriculture, more Guyanese will lose their income stream in the months to come. It is the duty of the government to put policies in place to prevent hard working people from losing their homes and their right to a livelihood.
In that rice industry stimulus bill, clear strategies have to be outlined around what will be done in the form of the drainage and irrigation system, state sponsored storage facilities to tide farmers through periods of slack markets, financial support to help small farmers set up their own small mills grounded in a co-operative movement.
The current meltdown in the rice industry is only part of a larger meltdown, and a stimulus bill in the National Assembly is only one attempt to  fix a larger developmental challenge.  But we have to start now, not tomorrow.

Even the independent Kaiteur News is worried like HELL.

FM

In the SN

Rice questions

 

http://www.stabroeknews.com/20...1/02/rice-questions/

 

Soon it will be crunch time again for rice farmers who will be expecting payments for their bumper output. The government’s mid-year report pointed to the scale of the bounty. Rice production rose by 15.3% to 359,960 tonnes compared with last year’s record high first-half harvest of 312,283 tonnes. Indications are that the entire year’s output will exceed last year’s. With the loss of the approximately 200,000-tonne, preferential-priced Venezuelan market there is now a vast gulf between rice output and guaranteed sales.

What is needed from the government and the Guyana Rice Development Board (GRDB) are clears answers which may or may not provide assurances to farmers but may at least give them an accurate picture of the situation on the ground and allow them to make decisions.

First, has the contractual commitment to the Venezuelan market been fulfilled after the earlier hiatus over the shipping schedule? If not and notwithstanding the tense relations between the two countries will steps be taken to ensure that the remaining quota is spread around and filled?

Second, the entire question of marketing Guy-ana’s rice has drawn unsatisfactory responses from the government. Several spokesmen have intimated that it is not the responsibility of the government to find rice markets. That may indeed be the case but it would be the most abject abdication of its stewardship for the government not to do all within its power to help find markets for these growers who engaged in this back-breaking business characterised by small margins and the ever present middleman.

While there has been a lot of talk by government officials about new markets there has been little certitude and thus far no concluded agreement of notable size. The most recent reference to new rice markets came during PM Nagamootoo’s visit to Mexico last week where “commercialisation” was spoken about. What is needed urgently is a matching of the market needs of Mexico with what is available here and this should be expedited by the two governments by putting their private sectors in touch with each other and providing an enabling environment.

Other government officials and persons in the industry have identified a list of other possible markets. Whether this is founded on any real basis or is wishful thinking is yet unknown. The mentioned countries include Panama, Portugal, Haiti, Brazil, French Guiana, Ghana, China and Canada. What is needed is a clear statement from the GRDB on deals struck. Since their appointment, neither the GRDB Chairman Mr Housty nor its head Mr Hassan has provided any useful information on the sourcing of markets and what is being done to find more. It is now time for a definitive statement from the GRDB on what has been achieved and whether it has advised the Ministry of Business that marketing missions should be immediately mounted.

While global market opportunities have been seen as a result of the El Nino weather phenomenon and other problems, the question is whether the roughly $3,000 per bag price under the Venezuelan PetroCaribe programme that had been paid to local farmers is available in any of these markets and if not what that would mean for the large stocks that are likely on hand.

What steps thus far have the GRDB and the ministers responsible for commerce and foreign affairs made to ensure that fellow Caricom countries take up as much of the rice that is available and that local millers and farmers pay greater attention to being reliable suppliers and showing greater loyalty to these markets? Presumably the Caricom Council on Trade and Economic Development has been written to in a bid to obviate the non-tariff barriers that are frequently thrown up in the way of Guyana’s rice and to ensure that a schedule of the rice needs of individual Caricom members is forwarded to Guyana. Guyana should also ask COTED to ensure that the Common External Tariff is rigorously applied to any extra-regional imports.

With the end of harvesting approaching, by December the government should be able to say with authority how much rice/paddy was left back from last year, how much paddy/rice was produced in the first and second crops this year, how much paddy/rice was exported and to which markets, how much rice was consumed locally, how much rice/paddy remains and plans for future marketing.

Depending on what transpires, right-sizing of the market will likely take place on its own next year. Farmers who have been frustrated by this year’s returns may very well not return to the fields for 2016’s first crop raising the questions of how they and their families are going to be sustained and the impact that this will have on the economy.

The next phase of serious work by the GRDB and the government will have to be in relation to the value-added industry. It was only last year that the Ramotar administration made feeble attempts to get a rice cereal initiative going. It is unclear what plans the Granger administration has in this area as nothing concrete has been publicized. This will however be imperative otherwise the economic momentum generated by the rice farmers over the last five or six years in particular will be lost. The Ministry of Agriculture, the rice development board, NAREI and the Institute of Applied Science and Technology should be taking the lead in this while avoiding platitudes.

 

The government fulfilled an APNU+AFC manifesto pledge by staging a rice conference earlier this year but it failed to hit the mark. Another high-level forum this time with only two clear objectives: finding new markets and adding value should be convened. It should be addressed by marketers with full knowledge of openings, and experts in the value-added area. The relevant government agencies should work along with the Rice Producers Association to make this a reality. Time is of the essence.

 

Rice questions

FM

The rice industry deserves what it gets if it puts its fate in the hands of civil servants.  If DDL waited for the gov't to find markets for its rum, it would have collapsed long ago. Why don't the rice millers find markets for their products.

 

The rice industry was used by the PPP and now the chickens have come home to roost. Why grow so much rice if you have no markets for it, especially if the rice industry is uncompetitive?  Why did the rice industry think that Venezuela was sustainable, given that nation's problems and their continued aggressive behavior towards Guyana?

FM
Last edited by Former Member
Originally Posted by Cobra:

Don't worry, be happy. Begging in an alternative.

Yes what the PPP did best.  Being classic beggars, and reducing the entire population to similar status.

FM

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