Romney Struggles to Gain Traction in Battlegrounds
By SARA MURRAY and LAURA MECKLER
Updated September 9, 2012, 7:32 p.m. ET -- Source - Wall Street Journal
With two months to Election Day, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney faces the disconcerting reality that he isn't winning most of the states he would need to beat President Barack Obama.
Florida and Virginia remain neck and neck, while the Obama campaign's fortunes in Ohio, where Vice President Joe Biden spent the weekend, appear to be improving.
Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney by small margins in seven of the eight battleground states, all but North Carolina, according to averages of public polls compiled by RealClearPolitics. All are within the margins of error. Most of the polls don't include reactions to the Democratic convention and Friday's dismal jobs report.
This pattern is by no means set, and the Romney campaign is banking that voters' disillusion with the economy will win out in the end. In past elections, however, where candidates stand in mid-September can be a good indicator of the final result. That means Mr. Romney has little time to alter a race that for months has been essentially static.
Given the soft economy, "the case for firing President Obama is really pretty obvious, but the case for hiring Mitt Romney is one that has yet to be made," said Charlie Cook, an independent political analyst who edits the Cook Political Report.
Romney campaign advisers said the race was still tight and that they felt confident after the GOP gathering in Tampa, Fla.
"We came out of our convention much better positioned than we went in," said Kevin Madden, a senior adviser to the Romney campaign. "I think we're in that critical phase where we're trying to put our emphasis on voter contact and having the governor do more retail campaigning."
Mr. Obama's advisers called it encouraging the president has at least maintained small leads in most battleground states, and they suggested their position may have improved.
"We are currently tied or leading in every [battleground] state," said Obama campaign manager Jim Messina. "Our pathways to victory are all open."
After two weeks of political fanfare where both parties officially nominated their candidates, Mr. Obama appears to have benefited from a post-convention bump. A Gallup poll released Sunday showed Mr. Obama opening up a wider lead over Mr. Romney nationwide. Members of both parties questioned whether it would last.
"It's still a very difficult economic environment, and there's plenty of time for Romney to rally," said Mark McKinnon, a former political adviser to President George W. Bush. "Sixty days is like sixty years in political time."
Both campaigns launched into the post-convention phase over the weekend by carrying their competing visions over the economy to battleground states and the Sunday news shows.
On NBC's "Meet the Press," Mr. Romney pledged to cut taxes across the board and recoup some of the lost revenue by cutting breaks for wealthier Americans. "Our problem in our country is not that we're not paying enough taxes," Mr. Romney said. "It's that we're spending too much money and the economy is not growing as it could and should."
Mr. Obama in Florida over the weekend repeated his stipulation that any new deficit-reduction deal include tax increases and argued that seniors would pay more for their health care under the Medicare plan offered by Mr. Romney and his running mate, Rep. Paul Ryan. He also critiqued Mr. Romney's plan for not being specific about how it would balance the budget.
This weekend, the Romney team made a move to expand the number of states in play to include Wisconsin, home to Mr. Ryan, where it unveiled its first general-election TV advertisement. The Obama camp is watching Wisconsin but hasn't committed to TV ads or appearances by the president there.
On Sunday, daylight appeared between Mr. Romney and his running mate over the strategy for striking a budget deal. Mr. Romney opposed tax increases while Mr. Ryan didn't dismiss a deal that included some. "You know, it depends on the quality of the agreement," Mr. Ryan said on ABC's "This Week."
Write to Sara Murray at sara.murray@wsj.com and Laura Meckler at laura.meckler@wsj.com