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Romney Struggles to Gain Traction in Battlegrounds

 

Updated September 9, 2012, 7:32 p.m. ET -- Source - Wall Street Journal

 

With two months to Election Day, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney faces the disconcerting reality that he isn't winning most of the states he would need to beat President Barack Obama.


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Mitt Romney addresses the audience at a rally with the GOP team at the Military Aviation Museum in Virginia Beach, Va., on Saturday.

 

Florida and Virginia remain neck and neck, while the Obama campaign's fortunes in Ohio, where Vice President Joe Biden spent the weekend, appear to be improving.

 

Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney by small margins in seven of the eight battleground states, all but North Carolina, according to averages of public polls compiled by RealClearPolitics. All are within the margins of error. Most of the polls don't include reactions to the Democratic convention and Friday's dismal jobs report.

 

This pattern is by no means set, and the Romney campaign is banking that voters' disillusion with the economy will win out in the end. In past elections, however, where candidates stand in mid-September can be a good indicator of the final result. That means Mr. Romney has little time to alter a race that for months has been essentially static.

 

Given the soft economy, "the case for firing President Obama is really pretty obvious, but the case for hiring Mitt Romney is one that has yet to be made," said Charlie Cook, an independent political analyst who edits the Cook Political Report.

 
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President Barack Obama speaks at a campaign event on Sunday in Melbourne, Fla.

 

Romney campaign advisers said the race was still tight and that they felt confident after the GOP gathering in Tampa, Fla.

 

"We came out of our convention much better positioned than we went in," said Kevin Madden, a senior adviser to the Romney campaign. "I think we're in that critical phase where we're trying to put our emphasis on voter contact and having the governor do more retail campaigning."

 

Mr. Obama's advisers called it encouraging the president has at least maintained small leads in most battleground states, and they suggested their position may have improved.

 

"We are currently tied or leading in every [battleground] state," said Obama campaign manager Jim Messina. "Our pathways to victory are all open."

 

After two weeks of political fanfare where both parties officially nominated their candidates, Mr. Obama appears to have benefited from a post-convention bump. A Gallup poll released Sunday showed Mr. Obama opening up a wider lead over Mr. Romney nationwide. Members of both parties questioned whether it would last.

 

"It's still a very difficult economic environment, and there's plenty of time for Romney to rally," said Mark McKinnon, a former political adviser to President George W. Bush. "Sixty days is like sixty years in political time."

 

Both campaigns launched into the post-convention phase over the weekend by carrying their competing visions over the economy to battleground states and the Sunday news shows.

 

On NBC's "Meet the Press," Mr. Romney pledged to cut taxes across the board and recoup some of the lost revenue by cutting breaks for wealthier Americans. "Our problem in our country is not that we're not paying enough taxes," Mr. Romney said. "It's that we're spending too much money and the economy is not growing as it could and should."

 

Mr. Obama in Florida over the weekend repeated his stipulation that any new deficit-reduction deal include tax increases and argued that seniors would pay more for their health care under the Medicare plan offered by Mr. Romney and his running mate, Rep. Paul Ryan. He also critiqued Mr. Romney's plan for not being specific about how it would balance the budget.

 

This weekend, the Romney team made a move to expand the number of states in play to include Wisconsin, home to Mr. Ryan, where it unveiled its first general-election TV advertisement. The Obama camp is watching Wisconsin but hasn't committed to TV ads or appearances by the president there.

 

On Sunday, daylight appeared between Mr. Romney and his running mate over the strategy for striking a budget deal. Mr. Romney opposed tax increases while Mr. Ryan didn't dismiss a deal that included some. "You know, it depends on the quality of the agreement," Mr. Ryan said on ABC's "This Week."

 

Write to Sara Murray at sara.murray@wsj.com and Laura Meckler at laura.meckler@wsj.com

Obama courts Florida voters over Medicare, space policy

 

By Jeff Mason, MELBOURNE, Florida

Mon Sep 10, 2012 6:42am IST -- Source

 

U.S. President Barack Obama shakes hands at a campaign event at the Florida Institute of Technology in Melbourne, Florida September 9, 2012.


(Reuters) - President Barack Obama defended his policy on outer space and warned seniors that Republicans would raise their healthcare costs during a campaign stop on Sunday in Florida, where he is seeking to sway undecided voters to help him win the state.

 

The Democratic incumbent is wrapping up a two-day bus tour of this political battleground state after making targeted appeals to specific voting blocs he needs: independents, Latinos and senior citizens.

 

On Saturday he bought lunch at a Cuban restaurant to woo Hispanics and campaigned with former Republican Governor Charlie Crist to entice independents.

 

On Sunday he slammed his opponent, Republican Mitt Romney, over his plans for Medicare, the popular healthcare program for the elderly. Romney's running mate, congressman Paul Ryan, proposed a plan two years ago that would transform Medicare into a program in which recipients would use vouchers to buy private insurance.

 

"Here's the bottom line: Their voucher plan for Medicare would bankrupt Medicare. Our plan strengthens Medicare," Obama told an enthusiastic crowd of some 3,000 at an indoor rally.

 

He cited a report that showed costs for the program would rise dramatically as a result of the Republicans' proposals.

 

Romney's campaign said the report was not neutral and called Obama's attacks untrue.

 

"(Obama) has done nothing to reform Medicare for the long haul and prevent it from going bankrupt, and on his watch family health care premiums have increased by nearly $2,500," Romney spokesman Ryan Williams said in a statement.

 

"The president's decision to use discredited studies and outright falsehoods to attack Mitt Romney is an admission that he can't talk about his record of crushing the middle class and failing to turn the economy around."

 

Obama's campaign sees the Medicare issue as a winner, even as it recognizes the economy - the main issue of the November 6 election - as the president's greatest weakness.

 

"If they want to have a discussion about who do you trust on Medicare for the next 60 days as their central argument, you know we ought to send them an in-kind contribution," Obama adviser David Plouffe told reporters on Air Force One last week.

 

But a disappointing jobs report on Friday gave fodder to Romney, whose central argument has been that Obama's stewardship of the economy is Exhibit A for why he should be replaced.

 

SPACE, ISRAEL

The president picked a tricky spot in Florida to make his case. The Melbourne area supported Republican nominee John McCain in 2008 by a wide margin, but demographic changes have made the area more friendly to Democrats, an Obama campaign official said.

 

Mindful of the importance of the space industry to voters in a part of the state that includes the Kennedy Space Center, Obama defended his administration's handling of the space program during the rally.

 

"Here on the space coast we've started a new era of American exploration that is creating good jobs right here in this county. We've begun an ambitious new direction for NASA by laying the groundwork for 21st century space flight and innovation," he said.

 

One woman in the crowd repeatedly yelled "What about Israel?" during the rally.

 

In an embarrassing turnaround at the Democratic convention on Wednesday, delegates reinstated language in their party platform declaring Jerusalem to be the capital of Israel after Obama objected to it being dropped and Republicans accused them of showing weak support for the longtime U.S. ally.

 

Romney's campaign has continued to press Obama about the issue in an effort to attract Jewish voters, another important voting bloc in parts of Florida.

 

"The platform reflects the president's position that Jerusalem is and should be the capital of Israel," White House spokesman Jay Carney told reporters on the campaign press bus.

 

"It is also a case, as a matter of policy of the United States and of this administration - and of every previous administration dating back to 1967 - that the status of Jerusalem has to be decided by the (Israeli and Palestinian) parties as part of a comprehensive peace agreement."

 

(Additional reporting by Paul Eckert in Washington; Editing by Eric Beech)

 

U.S. President Barack Obama eats with senior citizens inside the Ossorio Bakery and Cafe while campaigning in Cocoa, Florida, September 9, 2012. From L-R are: Jan Clark, Jerry Clark, Obama, John Hill, and Shirley Hill.


U.S. President Barack Obama meets customers outside the Ossorio Bakery and Cafe before he goes inside to eat breakfast with seniors while campaigning in Cocoa, Florida, September 9, 2012.

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