Billy Ram Balgobin posted:Over 50% of the mixed marriages in Guyana are between East Indians and Amerindians. The size of the mixed population of Guyana is exaggerated by Carib to bolster his argument that the PPP cannot win. This guy maybe smart but we are not that stupid to believe his BS. The last elections was a dead heat between the coalition and the PPP. Many PPP supporters were vacationing overseas instead of being there to vote. Their attitude was that the PPP will win without their votes. Many, including myself, thought the Berbicians would've abandoned the AFC since they moved into PNC camp. This did not happen, unfortunately. Look at the votes in the 2011 elections and see how the PNC fared and then ask yourself if they can go it alone in 2020 and capture the 50%... Well informed people will that you that the PNC could not have done it without the additional votes above their 40-41% support. Gilbakka, a noted political paccu, has been devouring Carib's BS on the issue of demographic changes and flying around and regurgitating it like a harpee eagle. Sad to see how these miseducated and misguided charlatans from the PPP's old school of Marxism have disgraced themselves.
This is the problem with the PPP. Instead of fixing their problems they cling to the notion that PPP supporters didn't vote because they thought that the PPP had a guaranteed victory. Well that thinking might have been credible in 2011, but in 2015 every one, including Jagdeo, knew that a PPP loss was very likely. This is why he descended into crass racism in order to scare the Indian vote back to the PPP.
In 2020 the PPP will not have the power of incumbency, so will not be able to buy Amerindian votes. Granger is working very hard to woo the Amerindian vote, as that is the true swing vote in Guyana.
The mixed population is 20%. The census said so since last year, so quit with your nonsense that Caribj said so.
And the notion that most mixed people in Guyana are East Indian and Amerindian is a laugh. Look at where most of the mixed people live. In Region 4 and in the interior and riverain regions. The vast majority of mixed people are varying combinations, usually including black. This being why the PNC historically has won most of that vote.
As to whether the APNU will go it alone in 2020 is any one's guess. WHat we do know is that in 2015 the vast majority of the Berbice Indo vote went to the PPP. So the PPP doesn't have that much to gain with Indians abandoning the AFC. They already did. Those who didn't vote PPP aren't guaranteed to return to the PPP in 2020 either, because these are Indians who aren't won over by tribal panic.
So the PPP can remain static and lose, or they can transform and maybe win. But a straight Indo vote means that the PPP loses. By 2020 its likely that the Indo population will be a mere 35%, or at most 40% of the vote.