http://www.rasmussenreports.co.../trump_41_clinton_39

Rasmussen tends to speak to more Republicans than Democrats....they also said ROmney will win

Carib, please take your meds.

While there is praying for Trump, unfortunately, he will be trumped and Hillary Clinton will become the President of the US_of_A after the November 2016 elections.

DG,

Numbers do not lie. Americans want change now. Old school politicians are on their way out.

RiffRaff posted:

Rasmussen tends to speak to more Republicans than Democrats....they also said ROmney will win

Many wrote off Trump as not even making it to the nomination race and now Trump is poised to win the nomination and Presidency.

yuji22 posted:

DG,

Numbers do not lie. Americans want change now. Old school politicians are on their way out.

Of course and the change is for Hillary Clinton to be the President of the US_of_A.

Old school politicians ...

Hillary Clinton is 69 years of age ... born October 27, 1947.

Donald Trump is 70 years of age ... born June 14, 1946.

Demerara_Guy posted:

yuji22 posted:

DG,

Numbers do not lie. Americans want change now. Old school politicians are on their way out.

Of course and the change is for Hillary Clinton to be the President of the US_of_A.

Old school politicians ...

Hillary Clinton is 69 years of age ... born October 27, 1947.

Donald Trump is 70 years of age ... born June 14, 1946.

Trump is not a mainstream failed politician like Hillary. Hillary lost once and will be rejected again. She is untrustworthy.

Americans may not agree with everything that Trump says, but they trust him. His lead over Hillary will increase as the campaign continues.

http://www.realclearpolitics.c..._polls/pres_general/

yuji22 posted:

Demerara_Guy posted:

yuji22 posted:

DG,

Numbers do not lie. Americans want change now. Old school politicians are on their way out.

Of course and the change is for Hillary Clinton to be the President of the US_of_A.

Old school politicians ...

Hillary Clinton is 69 years of age ... born October 27, 1947.

Donald Trump is 70 years of age ... born June 14, 1946.

Trump is not a mainstream failed politician like Hillary. Hillary lost once and will be rejected again. She is untrustworthy.

Americans may not agree with everything that Trump says, but they trust him. His lead over Hillary will increase as the campaign continues.

Yugi ...

Relative to failure ... perhaps it would be interesting to again review the numerous failures for Trump in business developments.

Note also that Trump is jumping from one political organization to another and is not stable in the Republican Party..

Hillary Clinton is consistent with one political party ... Democratic Party.

In terms of polling, Rasmussen generally gets it wrong

Several polling firms got notably poor results, on the other hand. For the second consecutive election — the same was true in 2010 — Rasmussen Reports polls had a statistical bias toward Republicans, overestimating Mr. Romney’s performance by about four percentage points, on average. Polls by American Research Group and Mason-Dixon also largely missed the mark. Mason-Dixon might be given a pass since it has a decent track record over the longer term, while American Research Group has long been unreliable.

RiffRaff posted:

Rasmussen tends to speak to more Republicans than Democrats....they also said ROmney will win

Rasmussen Polls are always skewed towards Republicans. 

In any case, General Elections polls do not tell the whole story. Winning US elections is all about winning battleground states. It's a given that Trump will win Red states like Texas and the deep South. Hillary will win NY, Washington, Oregon and California. The overall winner will be the person who can take Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida and other swing states.

Yep...those states will decide

Demerara_Guy posted:

yuji22 posted:

DG,

Numbers do not lie. Americans want change now. Old school politicians are on their way out.

Of course and the change is for Hillary Clinton to be the President of the US_of_A.

Old school politicians ...

Hillary Clinton is 69 years of age ... born October 27, 1947.

Donald Trump is 70 years of age ... born June 14, 1946.

Uncle Donald is a Washington outsider. He is not a career politician. He is a successful businessman going to the White House to be the real commander-in-chief and kick some butt. 

https://www.washingtonpost.com...o-with-donald-trump/

Republicans have a massive electoral map problem that has nothing to do with Donald Trump

Politico reported today on a Florida poll conducted for a business group in the state that shows Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump by 13 points and Ted Cruz by nine.

Why is that important? Because if Clinton wins Florida and carries the 19 states (plus D.C.) that have voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in each of the last six elections, she will be the 45th president. It's that simple.

Here's what that map would look like:

And here's the underlying math. If Clinton wins the 19 states (and D.C.) that every Democratic nominee has won from 1992 to 2012, she has 242 electoral votes. Add Florida's 29 and you get 271. Game over.

The Republican map — whether with Trump, Cruz or the ideal Republican nominee (Paul Ryan?) as the standard-bearer — is decidedly less friendly. There are 13 states that have gone for the GOP presidential nominee in each of the last six elections. But they only total 102 electorate votes. That means the eventual nominee has to find, at least, 168 more electoral votes to get to 270. Which is a hell of a lot harder than finding 28 electoral votes.

 

 

Many Republicans — particularly in Washington — are already preparing to blame a loss this fall, which many of them view as inevitable, on the divisiveness of Trump. That's not entirely fair to Trump though.

While his dismal numbers among women and Hispanics, to name two groups, don't help matters and could — in a worst-case scenario — put states like Arizona and even Utah in play for Democrats, the map problems that face the GOP have very, very little to do with Trump or even Cruz.

Instead they are, largely, demographic problems centered on the GOP's inability to win any large swath of non-white voters. New Mexico, a state in which almost half the population is Latino, is the ur-example here. In 2004, George W. Bush won the Land of Enchantment in his bid for a second term. (His margin over John Kerry was 588 votes.) Eight years later, Barack Obama won the state by 10 points over Mitt Romney; neither side targeted it in any meaningful way.

What has become increasingly clear is that any state with a large or growing non-white population has become more and more difficult for Republicans to win. Virginia and North Carolina, long Republican strongholds, have moved closer and closer to Democrats of late. (Obama won both states in 2008 and carried Virginia in 2012.)

At the same time as these states have grown friendlier to Democrats, there are very few states that are growing increasingly Republican. Wisconsin and Minnesota are two but neither is moving rapidly in Republicans' favor just yet.

What you are left with then is an electoral map in which the Democratic nominee begins at a significant advantage over the Republican one. (It is the obverse of the massive Republican electoral college edge of the 1980s.) And that edge is totally distinct from any individual candidate and his/her strengths or weaknesses. Yes, Trump as the nominee is more problematic than Ryan as the nominee, but the idea that Ryan would start the general election with a coin-flip chance of being elected president is just wrong.

The Republican map problem goes deeper than Trump — or any one candidate. Blaming Trump for a loss this November not only misses the point but could ensure that Republicans are doomed to repeat history in 2020.

yuji22 posted:

Carib, please take your meds.

I don't need to be worried.  On the other your buddies in RH need to be when hordes of Trumpites descend on them as they are "mawslim furriners".

In addition as you wail of the coming "Indo eradication drives" of the PNC, be confident that Trump isn't going to allow in any immigrants, unless they have advanced degrees in STEM.

Cobra posted:

Demerara_Guy posted:

yuji22 posted:

DG,

Numbers do not lie. Americans want change now. Old school politicians are on their way out.

Of course and the change is for Hillary Clinton to be the President of the US_of_A.

Old school politicians ...

Hillary Clinton is 69 years of age ... born October 27, 1947.

Donald Trump is 70 years of age ... born June 14, 1946.

Uncle Donald is a Washington outsider. He is not a career politician. He is a successful businessman going to the White House to be the real commander-in-chief and kick some butt. 

Perhaps Donald Trump will be kicking his own butt when it dawns in November 2016 that he terribly looses to Hillary Clinton.  

caribny posted:

yuji22 posted:

Carib, please take your meds.

I don't need to be worried.  On the other your buddies in RH need to be when hordes of Trumpites descend on them as they are "mawslim furriners".

In addition as you wail of the coming "Indo eradication drives" of the PNC, be confident that Trump isn't going to allow in any immigrants, unless they have advanced degrees in STEM.

Take your meds, please.

Thanks for everyone's contribution. Trump is poised to defeat Grandma Hillary. He is unstoppable, even the media failed to bring him down.

yuji22 posted:

caribny posted:

yuji22 posted:

Carib, please take your meds.

I don't need to be worried.  On the other your buddies in RH need to be when hordes of Trumpites descend on them as they are "mawslim furriners".

In addition as you wail of the coming "Indo eradication drives" of the PNC, be confident that Trump isn't going to allow in any immigrants, unless they have advanced degrees in STEM.

Take your meds, please.

The is right. You are a half wit with less understanding of the USA politics to have any grounding in reality. Polls at this time is national. It does not translate the same way on the level of states where dynamics of population demographics, religion, education etc makes a difference. Trump cannot hold on to places like Nevada, New Mexico or even Colorado and Arizona which are red. Then he has to bring Virginia which he cannot if Hillary selects Tim Kane as her running mate. He cannot win PA since the demographics that favor him is in the west of the state but the liberal population density concentrates in Philly. Then there is Florida which is a must win for him. He is doomed to lose by 10 and more points.

So you get it all figured out. Enjoy the thrills as we head to November. Let's not jump the gun until  he gets the nomination.

Cobra posted:

So you get it all figured out. Enjoy the thrills as we head to November. Let's not jump the gun until  he gets the nomination.

Trump is a patrician who do not give a damn about our coolie ass.

Danyael posted:

 

Trump is a patrician who do not give a damn about our coolie ass.

The brown bai KKK know this, but their racism against blacks causes them to support a man who attracts white supremacist groups.  Even if it means their eventual demise when these fervent Trump supporters attack them because they are "mawslim furriners".

Danyael posted:

Cobra posted:

So you get it all figured out. Enjoy the thrills as we head to November. Let's not jump the gun until  he gets the nomination.

Trump is a patrician who do not give a damn about our coolie ass.

The "coolie ass" don't need Trump to give a damn about them.  The "coolie ass" just need Trump to get the economy going, the "coolie ass" go take care of themselves!!

The Rasmussen folks predicted Romney to beat Obama in the 2012 elections. So much for that!

ba$eman posted:

Danyael posted:

Cobra posted:

So you get it all figured out. Enjoy the thrills as we head to November. Let's not jump the gun until  he gets the nomination.

Trump is a patrician who do not give a damn about our coolie ass.

The "coolie ass" don't need Trump to give a damn about them.  The "coolie ass" just need Trump to get the economy going, the "coolie ass" go take care of themselves!!

Is that why they are creating Alabama in RH...with high dropout rates, low tertiary education completion, high welfare dependency and poverty line earning power? Ask your resident spokes person for the area to validate the misery index of the area. Yes, trump do not have use for the output of the area. A few get rich and mainly on predatory practices ( the highest conviction rate among guyanese for crooked practices) while the majority are barely earning the bread basket per household. Yes we need a good president and Trump is just a loud mouthed buffoon

Danyael posted:

ba$eman posted:

Danyael posted:

Cobra posted:

So you get it all figured out. Enjoy the thrills as we head to November. Let's not jump the gun until  he gets the nomination.

Trump is a patrician who do not give a damn about our coolie ass.

The "coolie ass" don't need Trump to give a damn about them.  The "coolie ass" just need Trump to get the economy going, the "coolie ass" go take care of themselves!!

Is that why they are creating Alabama in RH...with high dropout rates, low tertiary education completion, high welfare dependency and poverty line earning power? Ask your resident spokes person for the area to validate the misery index of the area. Yes, trump do not have use for the output of the area. A few get rich and mainly on predatory practices ( the highest conviction rate among guyanese for crooked practices) while the majority are barely earning the bread basket per household. Yes we need a good president and Trump is just a loud mouthed buffoon

I just got off the phone talking to the owner of an engineering company. The lament the difficulties of finding employees.  Problem is that the denizens of RH, like many other communities, lack the cognitive, or social skills to be trainable.

The brown bai KKK really need to discuss this, and cease their babbling about black deficiencies.  The way I see it Indo Caribs are in the same hole as are blacks and Hispanics in this NYC.

caribny posted:

Danyael posted:

ba$eman posted:

Danyael posted:

Cobra posted:

So you get it all figured out. Enjoy the thrills as we head to November. Let's not jump the gun until  he gets the nomination.

Trump is a patrician who do not give a damn about our coolie ass.

The "coolie ass" don't need Trump to give a damn about them.  The "coolie ass" just need Trump to get the economy going, the "coolie ass" go take care of themselves!!

Is that why they are creating Alabama in RH...with high dropout rates, low tertiary education completion, high welfare dependency and poverty line earning power? Ask your resident spokes person for the area to validate the misery index of the area. Yes, trump do not have use for the output of the area. A few get rich and mainly on predatory practices ( the highest conviction rate among guyanese for crooked practices) while the majority are barely earning the bread basket per household. Yes we need a good president and Trump is just a loud mouthed buffoon

I just got off the phone talking to the owner of an engineering company. The lament the difficulties of finding employees.  Problem is that the denizens of RH, like many other communities, lack the cognitive, or social skills to be trainable.

The brown bai KKK really need to discuss this, and cease their babbling about black deficiencies.  The way I see it Indo Caribs are in the same hole as are blacks and Hispanics in this NYC.

It is being discussed more often than you think. Vish Mahadeo speaks of the problems of H.S. dropouts which is almost 50%. 

And Indos like basemen need to learn a lesson that black Caribbean people learned. We used to look down our noses at black Americans, until one day we woke up and saw that our kids were no different. 

Now imagine if we focused on our own problems, instead of thinking that we are better than others.

I see many of these Indo Carib kids, pants off their flat asses. Right away I know that this is Trinidad, or Guyana, NOT India!

Billy Ram Balgobin posted:

.

It is being discussed more often than you think. Vish Mahadeo speaks of the problems of H.S. dropouts which is almost 50%. 

I give Vish lots of credit for this. I remember several years ago Drugb was engaging in his usual anti black rants, and I brought attention to this. He called me an anti Indo racist. 

Vish supplied data about the dire educational situation of many of these kids.  That shut druggie up.

I will add this. Jamaican kids are much maligned for performing poorly in the educational system.  Guyanese kids have HIGHER dropout rates, based on NYS data.  In fact of the major immigrant groups, only Dominicans, Mexicans, and Central Americans had higher rates. Even Haitians weren't dropping out to the same degree.

Unless we assume that Afro Guyanese kids are doing worse than their Afro Carib counterparts, we can therefore assume that this problem is even worse among Indo Caribs than among Afro Caribs, and it is a problem among Afro Caribs.

And another indication of a problem. Higher over crowding among Guyanese than among Jamaicans.

I suggest that the brown bai KKK, like baseman, cease with their insinuations that Indo Guyanese are performing at the level of Asian Indians.  Danyael is right!

caribny posted:

Billy Ram Balgobin posted:

.

It is being discussed more often than you think. Vish Mahadeo speaks of the problems of H.S. dropouts which is almost 50%. 

I give Vish lots of credit for this. I remember several years ago Drugb was engaging in his usual anti black rants, and I brought attention to this. He called me an anti Indo racist. 

Vish supplied data about the dire educational situation of many of these kids.  That shut druggie up.

I will add this. Jamaican kids are much maligned for performing poorly in the educational system.  Guyanese kids have HIGHER dropout rates, based on NYS data.  In fact of the major immigrant groups, only Dominicans, Mexicans, and Central Americans had higher rates. Even Haitians weren't dropping out to the same degree.

Unless we assume that Afro Guyanese kids are doing worse than their Afro Carib counterparts, we can therefore assume that this problem is even worse among Indo Caribs than among Afro Caribs, and it is a problem among Afro Caribs.

I've been reading Drugb's posts for years and I don't see him trying to cover up problems in our community at home and abroad. Drugb has been one of the most effective defenders on this forum against real nasty attacks from supporters of the AFC and APNU. He has proved to be a thorn in side of many of you anti-Indian and Anti-PPP haters. 

Billy Ram Balgobin posted:

caribny posted:

Danyael posted:

ba$eman posted:

Danyael posted:

Cobra posted:

So you get it all figured out. Enjoy the thrills as we head to November. Let's not jump the gun until  he gets the nomination.

Trump is a patrician who do not give a damn about our coolie ass.

The "coolie ass" don't need Trump to give a damn about them.  The "coolie ass" just need Trump to get the economy going, the "coolie ass" go take care of themselves!!

Is that why they are creating Alabama in RH...with high dropout rates, low tertiary education completion, high welfare dependency and poverty line earning power? Ask your resident spokes person for the area to validate the misery index of the area. Yes, trump do not have use for the output of the area. A few get rich and mainly on predatory practices ( the highest conviction rate among guyanese for crooked practices) while the majority are barely earning the bread basket per household. Yes we need a good president and Trump is just a loud mouthed buffoon

I just got off the phone talking to the owner of an engineering company. The lament the difficulties of finding employees.  Problem is that the denizens of RH, like many other communities, lack the cognitive, or social skills to be trainable.

The brown bai KKK really need to discuss this, and cease their babbling about black deficiencies.  The way I see it Indo Caribs are in the same hole as are blacks and Hispanics in this NYC.

It is being discussed more often than you think. Vish Mahadeo speaks of the problems of H.S. dropouts which is almost 50%. 

Vishnu knows and seeks to address those deficiencies but help it is not going to come from Trump. The area is undeserved in many ways.

In our evaluation of Guyanese H.S. in Richmond Hill, NY we must not exclude the many who attend parochial schools. Looking just at the public schools won't you an accurate picture. Guyanese kids excel in parochial schools. 

Billy Ram Balgobin posted:

In our evaluation of Guyanese H.S. in Richmond Hill, NY we must not exclude the many who attend parochial schools. Looking just at the public schools won't you an accurate picture. Guyanese kids excel in parochial schools. 

Every Guyanese Kids with parents focused on their lives ( instead of constantly working 12 hours a day) excels. Only a handful gets to go to religious or private academies. Catholic and Montessori  schools cost as much as 800 a month. A family making 60K a year cannot afford that for 2 children plus other expense. And good Universities are 40K a year!

Billy Ram Balgobin posted:

 

I've been reading Drugb's posts for years

And there has been an unceasing drum beat from him of Afro Guyanese in Brooklyn, and elsewhere, being painted as welfare losers!

You know when welfare is high in an area when the stores advise that they accept food stamps. This is as true in RH as it is in black, Hispanic, and Hasidic neighborhoods.   And for that matter in poor Asian neighborhoods as well.