Force majeure is a contractual clause which allows a company to alter the terms of their contract if events out of their control impact their earnings. In an interview with this publication, chartered accountant and attorney-at-law, Christopher Ram warned of the possibility of this being done to Guyana.
Replies sorted oldest to newest
Yesterday oil brokers were paid at $37.00 per barrel to take the oil. Last night I saw it for lie $1.35 per barrel. Exxon made a good deal with Guyana. Does this mean if Exxon loses money, Guyana has to compensate for their losses? Was this in their agreement?
Exxon can use the Mejeure clause to extend their contract and possibly seek compensation for losses.
Guyana does not owe Exxon’s for losses or anything. However, the benefits to Guyana will be reduced as revenues, profits will be down and Guyana gets less for its oil.
The prices on the futures market does not necessarily reflect the real price for the actual oil. 10x more volume is traded than actual oil exchange hands. It’s all speculation paper oil. But there is a real price reduction and oversupply, amplified by storage shortage.
Exxon likely hedge out on their contracts so the immediate impact is dampened. Mexico is selling their oil for $50+ a barrel as they took out Puts on 250 million barrels when prices were in the $60s. Guyana needs to follow that model when oil recovers.
The beauty of working from home, work and see live updates.
I just saw an oil analyst speaking of the various oil companies and how they will fare in the long term. On Exxon he mentioned the Guyana asset as very investible even with lower prices. It’s one of the big positives in Exxon’s portfolio.