With Mass Evacuations, India Braces as Powerful Cyclone Heads for Coast
By GARDINER HARRIS, Published: October 12, 2013, Source - New York Times
NEW DELHI — A cyclone that may be among the most powerful storms ever recorded in the Bay of Bengal bore down on the eastern coast of India on Saturday with heavy rains and high winds.
Indian authorities described the storm, named Phailin, as “very severe” with sustained winds of 136 miles per hour and gusts reaching nearly 150 m.p.h.
Some 440,000 people have already been evacuated from the path of the storm, M. Shashidhar Reddy, vice chairman of the National Disaster Management Authority, said at a news conference in New Delhi on Saturday afternoon.
The Indian predictions before the storm made landfall were less alarming than those from meteorological authorities in the United States. Late Friday, the United States Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center said that the storm had sustained winds of 161 m.p.h., with gusts reaching 196 m.p.h. — making it similar to a Category 5 hurricane, the most severe. American meteorological authorities have appeared on Indian TV channels and have almost universally sounded more concerned about the coming storm than their Indian counterparts.
“If it’s not a record, it’s really, really close,” a University of Miami hurricane researcher, Brian McNoldy, told The Associated Press. “You really don’t get storms stronger than this anywhere in the world ever. This is the top of the barrel.”
Compared with devastating American storms, Mr. McNoldy said that Phailin was nearly the size of Hurricane Katrina, which killed 1,200 people in 2005 and caused devastating flooding in New Orleans, and that it had the wind power of 1992’s Hurricane Andrew, which packed 165-m.p.h. winds at landfall in Miami.
Cyclones that form in the Bay of Bengal are known not only for their intensity but also for their deadliness. The bay forms a funnel that pushes the storms onto land that has long been among the most densely populated and poorest in the world.
Odisha, with nearly 42 million people, is one of India’s poorest states, and its largely agricultural population could be devastated by the storm.
Indian authorities predicted a storm surge as high as 10 feet, enough to inundate low-lying areas in the states of Odisha and Andhra Pradesh, both of which lie southwest of the metropolis of Kolkata. Rainfall was expected to be heavy in some places, with as many as 10 inches of rain falling from Saturday to Monday, the India Meteorological Department said.
Forecasters predicted extensive damage to the region’s traditional wood and bamboo houses, serious crop losses and the disruption of rail and road traffic because of extensive flooding.
Officials ordered hundreds of thousands of villagers to leave their homes and take shelter in safer buildings. Tourists were evacuated from hotels in the region.
The storm is likely to be the strongest one to hit India in at least 14 years. It comes during a strike in Andhra Pradesh by government workers, who shut down much of the state’s electrical grid last week. After hearing a plea from the state’s chief minister, workers agreed to restore power to much of Andhra Pradesh on Friday. Andhra Pradesh has a population of 82 million, and any major disruptions could have huge consequences.