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Budget Measures could have negative impact on economy and growth -Ram & McRae

"We believe that the budget measures, if implemented as they are proposed, will have a negative impact on the economy and growth. In our view, the achievement of the projected growth will be extremely difficult, if not impossible to achieve", the report said.

Budget Measures could have negative impact on economy and growth -Ram & McRae

The Ram and McRae Chartered Accounting firm has completed its review of the 2017 national budget and in the analysis, the company has come to the conclusion that the economy could see a greater slow down if the budget measures are implemented as proposed.

“We believe that the budget measures, if implemented as they are proposed, will have a negative impact on the economy and growth. In our view, the achievement of the projected growth will be extremely difficult, if not impossible to achieve”, the report said.

It added that some measures, such as the reversal of the minimum Corporation Tax into a maximum Corporation Tax for Commercial Companies, “can hardly be described as feasible and we do not see any other choice for the Minister than a reversal of the proposals.”

The accounting firm believes many of the proposals in the budget in relation to taxes are unnecessarily penal, disproportionate, and unfriendly and can drive some taxpayers underground at a time when the call is for a widening of the tax net.

One of the biggest measures that has received the most pushback is the government’s decision to add the Value Added Tax to water and electricity even as it reduced the overall VAT rate from 16% to 14%.

Ram and McRae point out that VAT is also going to be added to other items that previously did not attract VAT and consumers will face the pressure with higher prices.

According to Ram and McRae, the proposals in relation to VAT are substantial but represent a substantial rejection of the main principle of a VAT system.

“Items such as medical services and prescription drugs will now be subject to VAT – it is hard to believe that this is what was intended. But the Minister only focused on Water and Electricity. We have tested the proposals and found them to cause an increase in prices including on a most basic food item – bread. At the practical level, these proposals will therefore be inflationary”, it noted.

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Finance Minister Winston Jordan has been attempting to defend the measure as a way of the government pushing for conservative use of both water and electricity.  Only consumers whose electricity bill goes over $10,000 per month and whose water bill goes pass $1500 per month will see the 14% tax being added to those bills.

But many citizens are not buying that proposal and on radio shows and on social media, they are hitting back at the administration for moving to implement a value added tax on two commodities that are not made available in high quality and with a steady and consistent flow.

Jordan has admitted that it is likely that the introduction of the tax could trigger price increases for various commodities and services in the shops and supermarkets but he has reasoned that “there are two things that are guaranteed in this life. Death and taxes”.

The Ram and McRae Accounting firm suggests that some of the budget measures were inarticulately communicated or were misconceived and offers the example of “the so-called 40% tax rate combined with the alternative personal allowance will lead to regressivity and not progressivity in the tax system. Higher income tax payers will actually pay a lower rate than lower-middle income tax payers. In other words, instead of a progressive system, we will have one that is regressive. When combined with the changes in VAT, our tax system becomes totally regressive, which can hardly be what was in

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Nehru posted:
Finance Minister Winston Jordan has been attempting to defend the measure as a way of the government pushing for conservative use of both water and electricity.  Only consumers whose electricity bill goes over $10,000 per month and whose water bill goes pass $1500 per month will see the 14% tax being added to those bills.
FM

braying-white-donkey

Nice post DG.

The AFC/PNC donkeys are braying as the economy slides into economic decline.

My grandfather was 1000 percent correct. The PNC cannot even run a cakeshop how can these fools run a country ?

Bray AFC/PNC donkeys Bray !!!!

The braying donkey kicked Chris Ram and Baigan/Curass Man in the rear.

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FM
Last edited by Former Member

Guyana got a good bracing from Venezuela in prior years through the Petrocaribe deal.  Shit is going to hit the fan because now they are relying on domestic borrowing at very high interest rates.

FM
Last edited by Former Member
VVP posted:

Guyana got a good bracing from Venezuela in prior years through the Petrocaribe deal.  Shit is going to hit the fan because now they are relying on domestic borrowing at very high interest rates.

Well tek the shyte because you supported the PNC.

It was people like you who supported the UF in the past and other parties in the past which made Indos suffer in wilderness for 28 years of PNC racism and dictatorship.

Guess what ? Those days are back. History is repeating itself.

FM
Last edited by Former Member
VVP posted:

Guyana got a good bracing from Venezuela in prior years through the Petrocaribe deal.  Shit is going to hit the fan because now they are relying on domestic borrowing at very high interest rates.

Domestic borrowing is not that bad. It is better than owing the Chinese a billion for substandard infrastructural work with no option to pay back. I am glad the scaled back on the borrowing and ease up on the give always. These was a veneer of progress as we dug a hole with debt, permitted the growth of a drug culture and saw the spread of corruption in every facet of our existence. A few got rich while most were in stasis.  We need to get real money from oil soon and we can start real development on our own money...provided of course the APNU does not go astray like 99 other oil rich states.

Guyana can be that Ibiza of fun, that Dubai that Baharain in wealth on the south american coast and we could do it better since we do not have as much to overcome geographically, culturally or proximal to friendly states. If we restrain ourselves for another year we can present a case where we can borrow at low rates from western banks to kick start the economy and prepare specifically for a different kind of reality as a wealthy nation. I do not know how we can fail given we are a nation with every advantage a country need to be the best place to live in ...climate...environment....natural resources. Only its people can cause us to fail and that is if we behave like the stupid lottery winner

FM
Last edited by Former Member

well, well, well what does it take 100 years before some realize the incompetence, recklessness, thieving, dumb and cluelessness of the PNC.  Hoping that they will do anything progressive is worst than signing a contract for the Bkly Bridge.

Nehru

D2 - 2% external vs 16% internal is good?  The problem it looks like they are not able to secure external funding at consessional rates.  The only benefit of the internal funding is that it will be paid back in G$.

So who is the Finance guru on this site.  I would like to hear some opinions.

FM
yuji22 posted:
VVP posted:

Guyana got a good bracing from Venezuela in prior years through the Petrocaribe deal.  Shit is going to hit the fan because now they are relying on domestic borrowing at very high interest rates.

Well tek the shyte because you supported the PNC.

It was people like you who supported the UF in the past and other parties in the past which made Indos suffer in wilderness for 28 years of PNC racism and dictatorship.

Guess what ? Those days are back. History is repeating itself.

WTF you talking bout??

FM
yuji22 posted:
VVP posted:

Guyana got a good bracing from Venezuela in prior years through the Petrocaribe deal.  Shit is going to hit the fan because now they are relying on domestic borrowing at very high interest rates.

Well tek the shyte because you supported the PNC.

It was people like you who supported the UF in the past and other parties in the past which made Indos suffer in wilderness for 28 years of PNC racism and dictatorship.

Guess what ? Those days are back. History is repeating itself.

Correct, Yuji.

FM

D2 do you know that Venezuela has the Largest oil reserve in the world and they have established infrastructure and refineries?  How come they are struggling?  Oil will not necessary make Guyana rich if they don't invest in the right direction.  This government is incapable of this.

FM
VVP posted:

D2 do you know that Venezuela has the Largest oil reserve in the world and they have established infrastructure and refineries?  How come they are struggling?  Oil will not necessary make Guyana rich if they don't invest in the right direction.  This government is incapable of this.

Thank you Sir. Some people slow to realize basic facts.

Nehru
VVP posted:

D2 do you know that Venezuela has the Largest oil reserve in the world and they have established infrastructure and refineries?  How come they are struggling?  Oil will not necessary make Guyana rich if they don't invest in the right direction.  This government is incapable of this.

Because they have Castro wannabe jackasses for leaders.

Mars

Because the Venezuelan economy lacks diversification.  They depend solely on oil.  They need to produce food and manufactured goods.  Look what Granger is doing - he is killing the entire agriculture sector and waiting for oil money which may or may not flow.

Bibi Haniffa

Should oil developments indeed take place in Guyana, indications are that and extremely small work force will be local Guyanese plus the major revenues will be shipped offshore for the investors and developers.

FM
VVP posted:

D2 - 2% external vs 16% internal is good?  The problem it looks like they are not able to secure external funding at consessional rates.  The only benefit of the internal funding is that it will be paid back in G$.

So who is the Finance guru on this site.  I would like to hear some opinions.

At 40 percent of GDP Guyana's external debt is not suffocating. Large external debt is an actual transfer of real assets to an external entity in the paying back. It can ruin a nation if  growth is slowed and it begins to accrue interests as it fall behind in payments. Internal debt is what the nation owes itself ie credit card, student loans and does not incur real asset loss. It is merely redistribution of monies in the state.

FM
VVP posted:

D2 do you know that Venezuela has the Largest oil reserve in the world and they have established infrastructure and refineries?  How come they are struggling?  Oil will not necessary make Guyana rich if they don't invest in the right direction.  This government is incapable of this.

They mismanaged their resources, let their infrastructure decay ( those refineries are hobbled with lack of spare parts) Venezuela's leaders are very stupid people. They ruined relations with states that could be helpful to them for no reason except stupid posturing.

Additionally, they give away more that was prudent to buy goodwill rather than earn it.  Their crippling infrastructure decay means they can only make a profit if oil is at 70 dollars per barrel. Pre Chavez they barely got 3 cent to the dollar for their oil and they became rich. They owned it all and became poor.

History is against Guyana benefiting from its oil. We can only hope and pray that we join the company of the 1 percent of oil rich states where people actually benefit from the resource. Even Canada and Australia failed in this area.

FM

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