@Ramakant-P posted:

With 389 boxes counted already, APNU/AFC is leading the PPP/C by 29,571 votes.  There are 490 boxes left to be counted. According to the law of averages, APNU/AFC will double that amount.     I could be wrong but who knows what will happen.

Yes, correct. 

And this is separate from a Region 10 win for APNU/AFC.

PPP/C will win Regions 6 and 9, but it doesn't look like it will help them pull out. Even with an additional 20,000 votes for PPP/C in Region 6, it will be nullified by APNU's hold in Region 10.

Win still comes down to the ever delicate Region 4. 

@Rochelle posted:

Yes, correct. 

And this is separate from a Region 10 win for APNU/AFC.

PPP/C will win Regions 6 and 9, but it doesn't look like it will help them pull out. Even with an additional 20,000 votes for PPP/C in Region 6, it will be nullified by APNU's hold in Region 10.

Win still comes down to the ever delicate Region 4. 

The results of Region 4 will declare the winner.

The system was designed to help the PNC win.

Georgetown (8 ridings) PNC strongholds, Combined with 5 ridings PPP strongholds to give you REGION 4.     The trick is in the allocation of Regional seats.   The winner will get an extra 2 seats.  

Difference is now further narrowed to 17,717 with 422 of 879 boxes counted in Region 4.

Region 6 has 111 boxes left to count and and Region 9 has 6 boxes left. 

.

GECOM's Recount figures at the end of the 31st May with the Seats allocated for the Regions completed which are shaded.

A comparison. 

100 boxes today!
Region 3 certified. 2 boxes left in Region 9. 4, 6 & 10 still ongoing.

East Bank and South Georgetown done.

South Georgetown is the strong hold of PNC. 

You don't want them to hurry up the counting and make errors, seeing that they can't count.

@Abu Jihad posted:

APNU 114K, PPP 80K... Seems like the PPP falling behind.  

@Abu Jihad posted:

What I never understood with this tally is how it somehow missed over 86k voters as part of the distribution.

285k+ voted, but tally across parties equates to just under 200k. And yet, this served as proof by the PPP/C that they won and that APNUAFC could not close the 52k+ margin differential.

LOL.

@Mitwah posted:

APNU 114K, PPP 80K... Seems like the PPP falling behind.  

Yes, assuming we went along with PPP/C's own Region 4 tally.

Current gap is 17k without their (PPP's) Region 6 and 9 wins. I believe Region 9 will be completed today, and Region 6 and 10 some time later this week.

That leaves the daddy of them all, Region 4, to be counted into next week.

@Rochelle posted:

What I never understood with this tally is how it somehow missed over 86k voters as part of the distribution.

285k+ voted, but tally across parties equates to just under 200k. And yet, this served as proof by the PPP/C that they won and that APNUAFC could not close the 52k+ margin differential.

LOL.

Abu, Dave, do you guys have an explanation for this differential?

It was 184,000 in 2015, that number is registered voters.

@Rochelle posted:

What I never understood with this tally is how it somehow missed over 86k voters as part of the distribution.

285k+ voted, but tally across parties equates to just under 200k. And yet, this served as proof by the PPP/C that they won and that APNUAFC could not close the 52k+ margin differential.

LOL.

They goofed up , 285k + meant total Voters on the list.

@Abu Jihad posted:

It was 184,000 in 2015, that number is registered voters.

That does not explain the number of total voters listed on PPP/C's 2020 tally that you quoted.

Total Listed Votes: 285,617.

Total Tally Reflected on PPP's 2020 Region 4 SOPs: 199,037

you always list registered voters, that’s not a mistake.

@Abu Jihad posted:

you always list registered voters, that’s not a mistake.

Tally header stated "Total Listed VOTES" not "voters"

There were a total of 285,617 VOTES casted on March 2, 2020.

@Rochelle posted:

That does not explain the number of total voters listed on PPP/C's 2020 tally that you quoted.

Total Listed Votes: 285,617.

Total Tally Reflected on PPP's 2020 Region 4 SOPs: 199,037

I wanted to show that more people voted this election that’s all.  

@Abu Jihad posted:

I wanted to show that more people voted this election that’s all.  

Understood.

Still does not explain how PPP/Cs Region 4 tally count used to declare their win missed over 86k voters as part of the tally distribution across each party.

@Rochelle posted:

Tally header stated "Total Listed VOTES" not "voters"

There were a total of 285,617 VOTES casted on March 2, 2020.

Take up with Jango, it’s his table 

@Abu Jihad posted:

It was 184,000 in 2015, that number is registered voters.

So you are saying the PPP added another 100K to the list. 

@Rochelle posted:

Tally header stated "Total Listed VOTES" not "voters"

There were a total of 285,617 VOTES casted on March 2, 2020.

@Abu Jihad posted:

Take up with Jango, it’s his table 

That's the PPP spread sheet. 

@Abu Jihad posted:

Take up with Jango, it’s his table 

LOL

@Mitwah posted:

So you are saying the PPP added another 100K to the list. 

Please note: It was not the PPP who created their own spreadsheet; It was PNC and Dingo. PPP had only the SOPs from the polling stations. That is what they are making their claim on. As for the dead people, it was Amna Ally who voted for all those dead people. Didn't you hear one jumbie can be in plenty of places at the same time? She made a mistake and voted for the PPP.

@Mitwah posted:

So you are saying the PPP added another 100K to the list. 

You rass a play Schpidee to impress Rochelle

@Former Member posted:

Please note: It was not the PPP who created their own spreadsheet; It was PNC and Dingo. PPP had only the SOPs from the polling stations. That is what they are making their claim on. As for the dead people, it was Amna Ally who voted for all those dead people. Didn't you hear one jumbie can be in plenty of places at the same time? She made a mistake and voted for the PPP.

She did what?

As of today, PPP's lead is further narrowed with a 17,293 differential.

Region 9 is completed. Region 10 is 40% completed. Region 6 is 73% completed.

Region 4 has 435 boxes left to count (approximately 49.49%), with a 35k lead for APNU/AFC.

GECOM's Recount figures at the end of 1st June with the Seats allocated for the Regions completed which are shaded.

Here are the tabulation results at the end of the 1st June 2020. The SORs for Region has been tabulated.Just 559 more boxes to go.

From Mahaica to Oagle district, the PPP only wii only have  2500 votes more than the PNC.

@Ramakant-P posted:

From Mahaica to Oagle district, the PPP only wii only have  2500 votes more than the PNC.

On what basis do you say this?  The PPP claims that they outperformed the Coalition by more than 8000 votes on the ECD.

These were the officially declared GECOM FIGURES on March 4, 2020. 

Just a reminder to some 

Stabroek News publishes 116 Region Four Statements of Poll

Stabroek News is publishing hereunder 116 Statements of Poll (SoPs) that it collected in Region Four on the night of the March 2nd general elections and the days following.

The SoPs are in the form of photographic images and pertain to the general election and not the regional election.

The images of the SoPs were collected by reporters from the newspaper who visited numerous polling places across the country as part of the customary effort of providing early results to the public.

At a number of locations visited in Region Four SoPs were not available as compounds were locked.

Click for the full details

@Ramakant-P posted:

From Mahaica to Oagle district, the PPP only wii only have  2500 votes more than the PNC.

Uncle Rama, take a look at this.. Enmore and enterprise is not include..

In Mon Repos/Good Hope/Lusignan there were some 13,556 persons on the voters’ list but only 75% or 10,161 persons actually voted. Among those 10,161 persons, 93% or 9,451 voted for the PPPC while a paltry 580 persons or 6% voted for the APNU.

Dave, you been holding back info, was looking for this sometime now

@Abu Jihad posted:

Dave, you been holding back info, was looking for this for sometime

Sorry bud..share it . some of them will get nara tomorrow 

In the Enmore District which includes Enterprise, the PPP never won by more than 800 votes.    The District includes Nabaclis/Golden grove, Bachelor's Adventure and Paradise..    

Mahaica District was always won by the PPP with only 650 votes.  

That is why they combined East Coast and Georgetown, where it would be advantageous to the PNC.

I am not a supporter of the PNC and i wish that they would lose, but those are the facts.  The bottom line is the Coalition will win Region 4 and they will be rewarded more Regional Districts seats.

@Ramakant-P posted:

In the Enmore District which includes Enterprise, the PPP never won by more than 800 votes.    The District includes Nabaclis/Golden grove, Bachelor's Adventure and Paradise..    

Mahaica District was always won by the PPP with only 650 votes.  

That is why they combined East Coast and Georgetown, where it would be advantageous to the PNC.

I am not a supporter of the PNC and i wish that they would lose, but those are the facts.  The bottom line is the Coalition will win Region 4 and they will be rewarded more Regional Districts seats.

I have no Idea what you are smoking uncle Rama. Part of Mahaica to Itica is Region 5, which is completed.

BelAir to Part of Mahaica is Region 4 where the majority of voters are PPPC still to be counted... I am a Enmore man who was a polling Agent in 1985 @Nabaclis and I also voted on March 2nd. There is no question about APNU winning Region 4 , but they will NOT will the election. I have the numbers for East Coast.

BelAir.

Industry

Ogle.

Success.

Betterhope

LBI / Chateu Margo

Mon Repose

Lusignan

Annandale

Strasphey/ Vigilance

Melanie Daminisha East

Enterprise.

Enmore.

I can go on and on....

Food for thought....

Thought local election is not a commanding reflector .. the gains by PPP in the local election is a reflection of the results in PPP side today .

The PPPC humiliated the Coalition at the 2016 local government elections.  APNU+AFC suffered a tremendous setback in those elections and were not able to recover in 2018 when the PPPC won again by more than 50,000 votes. The only other time in which the PPP won the popular vote by a larger margin of votes was in the 1992 General Elections. On that occasion, it won by 60,000 votes. Jagdeo was Marshaling  his troupe between 2015 and 2020 while APNU/ PNC was asleep.