Miami is back at home and would be favored, as its bench play should get better.
Tony Parker will be better-rested from the rib cage injury and should be more effective.
In a game of adjustments look for Kawi Leonard to do better defensively. LeBron schooled him, when he LeBron was not pushing him out of the way, and Pops wouild not pull a Game 6 Duncan move as he did with taking Dioaw off of LeBron in the closing minutes. Pops will also have to make adjustments in approach when LeBron takes on Parker in the 4th quarter. That's the time t take advantage of mismatches elsewhere. I would go big then wit Splitter.
Miami has given the Spurs their best shot. LeBron, DWayde and Bosh played like the Big 3 and Allen played like he 20-somethoing and Rashard Lewis couldn't miss. You know that these performances will come back to the average. And this is what gives the Spurs hope. They were outcoached in Game 2 and they played an average game while the HEat played the besty they could. LeBron had no other level for the Heat to go as he said against the Paceless. If the Spurs and the Heat play to their average game, Spurs win in 6. But that's why they play the games as Miami might turn it on and the Spurs may take a wal in the park. Let's see who wants it more.