The 2011 elections resulted in the following breakdown:
National Seats | Presidential votes | Percentage of votes cast
PPP 19 Seats 166,340 votes 48.62%
APNU 16 Seats 139,678 votes 40.83%
AFC 5 Seats 35,333 votes 10.33%
Regional Seats
PPP 13 Seats
APNU 10 Seats
AFC 2 Seats
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The 2006 elections resulted in the following breakdown: (this is only to show the trend)
National Seats | Presidential votes | Percentage of votes cast
PPP 21 Seats 183,867votes 54.6%
APNU 13 Seats 114,608votes 34.0%
AFC 4 Seats 28,366 votes 8.4%
Regional Seats
PPP 15 Seats
APNU 9 Seats
AFC 1 Seats
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Hereβs whatβs important in 2015 if a snap election is held.
Regional β the AFC gains votes in Regions 7, 8 and 9, and likely increase its Regional seats from 2 to 4 seats. More than likely the APNU holds and the PPP/C loses those 2 seats
National β With Moses in the leadership mix look for 2 seats in Region 6 and maybe 1 in Region 2 to be added to the AFC tally at the expense of the PPP/C. The APNU holds steady.
If you agree with the above a likely outcome would be this
PPP 27 Seats
APNU 26 Seats
AFC 12 Seats
PPP/C retains the Presidency, barely, and the opposition increases its advantage in the National Assembly. A pre-election coalition obviously changes the dynamic, as the PPP/C losses may not be that big with more stay-at-home rather than vote AFC.
Kari I have to disagree with you. This is all hocus pocus fantasy.
The PPP and the APNu will lose seats.